The Nasdaq hits 20,000 points! Besides US bonds, US investors are buying everything.

After the release of USA's November CPI data on Wednesday, investors seem to have finally "confirmed" that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week is a done deal; financial markets across asset classes on Wednesday also appeared quite uplifting; apart from the decline in USA Treasuries, investors are buying everything else - USA stocks are rising, Gold is rising, the dollar is rising, Crude Oil Product is rising, and Cryptos are rising...

cls.cn20:26 ET

Wall Street interprets the CPI: no change to the Fed's "gradual easing," core inflation remains strong supporting the pause in interest rate cuts in January.

Analysis suggests that the CPI, which meets expectations, demonstrates that the cooling of inflation has basically stagnated in recent months. While this is not enough to disrupt the year-end bull market in U.S. stocks, it also means that an interest rate cut next week is not guaranteed, especially with the potential inflation upward risks brought by Trump's tariffs and fiscal expansion next year drawing attention. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries first fell and then rose.

wallstreetcn15:00 ET

Here's the Breakdown for November CPI, in One Chart

In One ChartDec 11 08:47 ET · Macro

Tonight! The last piece of potentially market-exploding data from the USA in 2024 is here.

① The USA's November CPI data, which will be released tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, can be metaphorically described as "the last heavyweight economic Indicator of the USA for 2024", which does not seem exaggerated. ② With the Federal Reserve's December monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week, tonight's CPI is expected to serve as an important basis for the Fed's critical decision on whether or not to cut interest rates...

cls.cnDec 10 20:27 ET

Shanghai Securities Journal: Do not overlook the risks behind the surge in the bond market. "OMO rate + 45 basis points" has become the "new anchor point" for government bonds.

The Shanghai Securities Journal article reminds that the market has fully anticipated the bond market trends. If future policy implementation deviates from expectations, there may be a significant potential for market adjustments. Another article from Shanghai Securities Journal cites analysis that, referring to the bond market pricing habits since July, the 10-year government bond yield is generally determined using an OMO rate plus an additional 40 to 50 basis points as a phased interest rate lower limit. In the future, it can be roughly considered that 'OMO rate + 45 basis points' will serve as the new pricing 'anchor' for the bond market.

wallstreetcnDec 10 19:01 ET

Imminent! A giant has once again issued a warning to the governments of Europe and the United States regarding debt, this time it is the central bank of central banks!

This week, major players intensively warned about the debt issues in Europe and the United States. Following bond giant Pimco and Bridgewater's Dalio, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), known as the central bank of central banks, recently stated that government borrowing habits pose the greatest danger to Global economic stability. The surge in government debt supply could exacerbate instability in financial markets, and the recent changes in market sentiment should be viewed as warning signals.

wallstreetcnDec 10 17:27 ET