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ING: Next year, the CSI Commodity Equity Index will experience a "Put year," while Gold will still shine!
① ING expects that the Global situation will put pressure on the Energy and CSI Commodity Equity Index markets, but the outlook for Gold remains bright. ② The report points out that Trump's tariff plans may disrupt the oil, Metal, and Agriculture markets; ③ However, ING predicts that the average Gold price will rise to $2,760 per ounce by 2025, primarily influenced by central bank purchases of Gold and the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset.
Goldman Sachs: Even with a strong dollar, Gold will still be strong, and central banks will buy more.
Goldman Sachs believes that the West looks at the Federal Reserve, expecting a rate cut of 125 basis points by the end of next year will boost Gold prices by 7%; the East looks at central banks, where a strong dollar will not stop central banks from purchasing Gold, with expectations that by the end of 2025, central bank purchases will increase Gold prices by 9%.
Will gold continue to shine next year? Goldman Sachs is listed as one of the “three major catalysts”: see you at $3,000!
① Goldman Sachs expects the price of gold to rise 11% to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025; ② Goldman Sachs believes that interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, increased gold purchases by central banks, and rising geopolitical uncertainty are the three major factors driving the price of gold higher.
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What does the central bank's purchase of gold again mean? How to carry out global asset allocation next year? Multiple public fund professionals share their views.
① The fund manager compares bitcoin to "fake gold," but it has no physical delivery and is highly volatile, making it unsuitable for allocation by households or institutions; ② U.S. stock valuations are high, but there are no obvious systemic risks, so continued allocation is advised; ③ It is expected that the A-share market will continue to exhibit volatility in the short term, and the semiconductor sector can be held for the long term with swing trading.
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