Taking history as a lesson: After the ultimate two options for the U.S. president, where will the U.S. stock market go?
①Taking a lesson from history, the USA stock market usually rises after a presidential election, but investors need to be prepared for some short-term fluctuations first; ②This means investors should not expect the USA stock market to immediately rise on Wednesday or the following days.
No matter who becomes president, goldman sachs trading department: regardless of the outcome, CTA will sell stocks this week.
Last week, CTA has already sold $8 billion worth of global equity. goldman sachs trading department predicts that in the market's decline, the E-mini s&p 500 index will experience an outflow of $11.2 billion, and will have an outflow of $0.94 billion in the case of an increase.
For a decade, the US stock market's 'passive rise' has brought about what changes to the market?
Goldman Sachs stated that looking at the US stocks as a reference, the real estate industry has the highest passive holding proportion, while the energy industry has the lowest. The passive holding proportion of large-cap stocks is relatively small, and the impact of passive holding on the s&p 500 index stock trend is not significant. s&p 500 index stocks with high passive holdings do not consistently outperform stocks with low passive holdings.
Goldman Sachs firmly calls for the rise of Chinese stocks: expected to rise within 2-3 months after the US election!
①Goldman Sachs strategists' latest forecast predicts that Chinese stocks will rise within two to three months after the US presidential election; ②The firm believes that China's economic stimulus measures have created the so-called "policy put options" to protect investors in the Chinese stock market from the impact of declines.
The market may not have expected: this year's stocks in china may have a profit growth rate surpassing india!
HSBC believes that recent economic data in India is disappointing, with a general slowdown trend present in various industries. On the other hand, in China, after economic policy stimuli, signs of accelerated growth have begun to appear in some sectors, with real estate transactions rebounding, and over 20 listed companies carrying out share buybacks... In addition, local provinces have begun to issue special bonds, releasing funds into the real economy to drive economic development.
USA election enters countdown, these markets have become "safe havens"
①In the final stage of the usa election, investors are selling the yen in droves and instead investing in cash, india, china markets, and some assets denominated in Singapore dollars; ②Pictet Asset Management said: "We actually think china is a good place to hide."