Trump 2.0 is coming! As the US stock market soars, analysts warn: "Bearish" should not be ignored.
①After the outcome of the USA election has been determined, the three major stock indexes in the USA hit historic highs; ②Wall Street analysts say that based on Trump's previous promises of tax cuts and relaxed regulations among other positions, there may be a more positive prospect for growth policies for USA companies. ③However, analysts also warn that the long-term bearish threat of Trump 2.0 on the USA stock market still exists.
Wall Street consensus: U.S. stocks can soar again "wildly" before the end of the year, just waiting for the results of the election to be announced!
①Wall Street strategists predict that the results of the usa election will set the foundation for a stock market rebound; ②Jefferies financial strategist said, the stock market weakness in the week before the vote is usually a sign of strong performance in the following month, and last week's plunge may be a call signal.
Goldman Sachs top traders: 'Fasten your seat belts' on election day, any clear outcome will greatly impact US stock market volatility.
Goldman Sachs hedge fund research director Pasquariello said that in recent weeks, the trading community has significantly reduced risks, with substantial reductions in positions in the macro area, most notably in the position of US interest rates; if investors quickly catch up with the market trends brought by the initial election results, he will closely monitor the bond market.
Taking history as a lesson: After the ultimate two options for the U.S. president, where will the U.S. stock market go?
①Taking a lesson from history, the USA stock market usually rises after a presidential election, but investors need to be prepared for some short-term fluctuations first; ②This means investors should not expect the USA stock market to immediately rise on Wednesday or the following days.
No matter who becomes president, goldman sachs trading department: regardless of the outcome, CTA will sell stocks this week.
Last week, CTA has already sold $8 billion worth of global equity. goldman sachs trading department predicts that in the market's decline, the E-mini s&p 500 index will experience an outflow of $11.2 billion, and will have an outflow of $0.94 billion in the case of an increase.
For a decade, the US stock market's 'passive rise' has brought about what changes to the market?
Goldman Sachs stated that looking at the US stocks as a reference, the real estate industry has the highest passive holding proportion, while the energy industry has the lowest. The passive holding proportion of large-cap stocks is relatively small, and the impact of passive holding on the s&p 500 index stock trend is not significant. s&p 500 index stocks with high passive holdings do not consistently outperform stocks with low passive holdings.