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How do you view the recent "hawkish" stance of the Bank of Japan executives? Goldman Sachs: The next interest rate hike may still have to wait until January next year.
Goldman Sachs believes that when evaluating the timing of interest rate hikes, it is important to consider financial market stability and inflation trends. The bank predicts that January next year will be the best time to determine whether Japan's inflation will rebound, and based on this, determine that Japan will raise interest rates in January. However, if there is significant turmoil in the financial markets, the timing of the rate hike may become uncertain.
After the hawkish remarks of central bank officials, hedge funds are betting on further appreciation of the yen.
Hedge funds are increasing their call bets on the yen in the options market, expecting the yen to continue its upward trend this quarter.
Former senior official of the Japan Financial Services Agency: There may be another rate hike before the end of the year!
Former senior official Tomoko Amaya of the Japan Ministry of Finance said that the central bank may raise interest rates again before the end of the year; she said that what matters is not the level or volatility of stock prices, but the level of confidence. The stable recovery of the market is enough to make interest rate hikes possible this year.
"Kishida Faction" officially announces dissolution! Understanding the insider of Japan's ruling party factions in one article.
① The ruling party in Japan, the Liberal Democratic Party, has six major factions, and factional struggles often determine the final composition of the party's top leadership. ② Since the political bribery scandal that shocked Japan, the five major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party have successively promised to dissolve their factions, and the Kishida faction, led by Fumio Kishida, is the latest one to dissolve. ③ Analysts pointed out that this is Kishida's gesture of abandoning the factional customs before the LDP presidential election.
Unfazed by the possibility of a repeat of "Black Monday," the Governor of the Bank of Japan is resolutely hawkish, still planning to raise interest rates.
Although the Japanese stock market just experienced a "Black Monday" crash earlier this month, the Bank of Japan's determination to raise interest rates does not seem to be shaken. On Friday, Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda Haruhiko stated during a parliamentary questioning session that if Japan's inflation and economic data continue to meet the central bank's expectations, the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates.
The Japanese stock market soared nearly 9% in a single week, the largest increase in four years! Japanese investors are celebrating: the familiar feeling has returned.
According to market data, the Nikkei 225 index rose by 3.6% to 38,062.67 points on Friday, resulting in a stunning 8.7% increase for the week, marking the largest weekly gain since the beginning of the pandemic in April 2020. Meanwhile, the TOPIX index also rose 3% on the day and posted a weekly gain of approximately 8%.