Hi, mooers! Canada's Big 5 banks are set to unveil their earnings reports throughout the remainder of the month, starting with$Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS.CA)$initiating the reporting cycle on December 3, followed closely by $Royal Bank of Canada (RY.CA)$, $The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.CA)$, and $Bank of Montreal (BMO.CA)$, which will release their reports on December 4. $Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM.CA)$ will wrap...
104712493
:
When Canada's big banks report their earnings, you can generally expect a few key signals or themes that investors and analysts will be looking for. Here’s a breakdown of what to focus on: 1. Loan Growth and Credit Quality Loan growth: Investors will closely monitor trends in retail, commercial, and mortgage lending. Any signs of slowing loan growth can indicate challenges in the economy, such as higher interest rates or reduced consumer demand. 2. Net Interest Margin (NIM) and Interest Rates Net Interest Margin: NIM reflects the difference between the interest income the bank earns on loans and the interest it pays on deposits. In a rising rate environment, NIM can expand, but if rates are high for too long, it may start to compress due to weaker loan demand or greater competition for deposits. Interest Rate Impact: The performance of Canadian banks is often closely tied to interest rates. Analysts will be looking for commentary on how banks are navigating higher rates, especially in the context of the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy. 3. Fee Income and Wealth Management Banks in Canada earn significant revenue from wealth management, capital markets, and investment banking. Fee-based income from these sectors can be a major driver of profits. Investment banking performance: If capital markets are subdued, this may impact fees from trading, investment banking, and underwriting. Wealth and asset management: With the aging population, wealth management is an important area. 4. Expenses and Efficiency Cost control: Banks will often provide guidance on their cost control measures. Analysts will be assessing whether banks are effectively managing their expenses, especially as many have made significant investments in digital transformation and technology. Efficiency ratio: This ratio measures how much it costs to generate a dollar of revenue. A lower ratio generally indicates a more efficient bank
天生赢家贵公子
:
$Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS.CA)$ Canadian major banks' fourth-quarter financial report: Which signals are worth paying attention to? With the imminent release of the fourth-quarter financial reports of Canada's five major banks (BNS, RY, TD, BMO, CM) in 2024, the market is eagerly anticipating their performance. Below are my personal analysis and opinions: Firstly, the Canadian banking industry faces the double-edged sword of interest rate environment. Due to the Bank of Canada's sustained high interest rates, the banks' net interest margin (NIM) may remain at a high level, providing support for profits. However, with interest rates staying elevated, consumer and corporate loan demand may weaken, and the risk of rising default rates cannot be ignored. In particular, the performance of the mortgage market will be the focus of investors. Secondly, against the backdrop of slowing global economic growth, the performance of Canadian banks' capital markets business may come under pressure. Although the stock market performed strongly in 2024, investment banking and trading income may be affected by market fluctuations. Pay close attention to BMO and RY, as their performance in the capital markets business may contribute significantly to the overall financial reports. Additionally, investors should focus on the banks' provisions. Faced with potential economic recession risks, whether the major banks will increase loan loss provisions will be an important signal for evaluating their future stability. In particular, TD and CM, due to their higher business presence in the USA market, their cross-border business performance may be more volatile. In conclusion, I believe that this financial reporting season will highlight the banks' ability to adapt in a high-interest rate environment and their defensive strategies against future economic uncertainties. For long-term investors, Canadian banks still have solid dividend and risk-resistant advantages, but it is essential to be vigilant against short-term volatility risks and pay attention to the management's forward-looking guidance.
TD Bank Q4 2024 earnings conference call is scheduled for December 05 at 9:30 AM ET /December 05 at 10:30 PM SGT /December 06 at 1:30 AM AEST. Subscribe to join the live earnings conference with management NOW! Beat or Miss? What do you expect from TD bank's Q4 earnings? Will the company beat or miss the estimates? Make sure to click the "Book" button to get what managements have to say! Disclaimer: This presentation is for information and educational u...
FinanceGuru : I'm still seeing $1 billion PCL for the quarter.
JGPM OP FinanceGuru : buy the dip
DanDha : If it sells down enough, I will average up.
Bravo Jordan : BMO has been in the same boat lately.