Goldman Sachs: AI could bring a net Buy of 200 billion dollars to the Chinese stock market.
Goldman Sachs stated that widespread AI adoption could increase the EPS of Chinese enterprises by 2.5% annually over the next decade. Improved growth prospects and increased confidence may raise the fair valuation of the Chinese stock market by 15-20%, potentially bringing in over 200 billion USD in inflow (with 104 billion USD contributed by southbound capital), which is expected to partially reverse the underallocation status of Global Asset Management Institutions.
Wall Street is "looking ahead": China's Assets have shifted from "tradable" to "investable".
According to Bank of America, DeepSeek may become an important turning point similar to Alibaba's IPO in 2014, prompting global investors to reassess the value of Chinese Assets, likely stimulating a cluster effect of XINJINGJI enterprises, forming widespread optimism for economic growth, employment, and income, thereby attracting global long-term capital back to the Chinese market.
DeepSeek has changed everything! Goldman Sachs has proposed a new framework for investing in the Chinese stock market.
First, Goldman Sachs divides the total market value of 14 trillion dollars of China Stocks into two main categories: AI Technology and non-Technology. Second, within the AI Technology sector, the 6 trillion dollars in market value is further subdivided into Semiconductors (including Software design), Infrastructure (Hardware, Data Storage, Cooling System), Data and Cloud (such as Internet platform companies), and Software and Applications (self-driving, Biotechnology, humanoid Robots, Internet service providers, etc.). Third, in the non-Technology sector, the 7 trillion dollars in market value is classified into income enhancers and productivity enhancers. Finally, Goldman Sachs ranks various sub-industries and thematic groups according to their relative price sensitivity to NVIDIA and META, allowing for a better understanding of China's Industry and the level of Trade of AI agents in the two dominant trends in the Technology world - capital expenditure and application.
What will be the next step for Hong Kong stocks? Morgan Stanley: The differentiation will continue, and foreign capital still has room for allocation increase.
Morgan Stanley stated that so far, southbound capital has made the largest contribution to this rebound, with foreign long-term investors still holding relatively low positions and there being room for increased allocation. After a long period of limited attention, Global investors are beginning to reassess China's investability in the fields of Technology and AI. In the short term, the divergent performance between AI/Technology stocks and non-AI/Technology stocks may continue.
At the beginning of the year, a crazy purchase of 150 billion Hong Kong dollars! The South Water supports the Hong Kong stock market.
On Monday, the trading volume through the Hong Kong Stock Connect accounted for nearly half of the total trading volume of Hong Kong stocks, with a net buying amount reaching 16.5 billion Hong Kong dollars, the highest level since early December. In just the first few weeks of this year, the net Inflow of southbound funds has approached 150 billion Hong Kong dollars (approximately 19.3 billion US dollars), more than seven times that of the same period in 2024.
Wall Street under the impact of Trump: Increasing hedging protection, and are Chinese Assets becoming more sought after?
① At the beginning of the Trump 2.0 Trade War, as the market became increasingly volatile, Wall Street traders' investment styles seemed to be undergoing a timely transformation... ② The holding period is getting shorter and hedging protection is becoming more prevalent, which is becoming a trend sweeping across the stock, bond, and currency markets, while China Assets have instead become quite popular during this time.
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