My ETF holdings are mainly the leveraged ETFs which have higher risk profile compared to other type of ETFs. However, my problem with my ETF holding is their lackluster performance.Luckily though they are only a small position of my overall portfolio and I am not looking at profit near term. That being said, if you google about leveraged ETFs, you will see the red flag as below immediately. Leveraged ETFs decay due to the compounding effect of daily returns, volatility...
While$Amazon (AMZN.US)$$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$may overbuild in the short term if AI demand weakens, they are not renting GPUs at a loss. They've been very clear that capex is fungible for other purposes if demand disappoints vs. forecasts, perhaps w/ some time lag (would be more concerned abt others like$Oracle (ORCL.US)$/ Coreweave recovering ROI in a downside case). The debate regarding AI capex ROIC s...
$Apple (AAPL.US)$ Initial indications are that the iPhone 16 series delivery times after pre-orders are shorter than for the iPhone 15 Pro Max & Vision Pro. A more accurate picture will emerge twenty-four hours after pre-orders begin. Twenty-four hours after pre-orders began for the Vision Pro, the delivery time was 5-7 weeks (depending on different models or markets). Twenty-four hours after pre-orders started for the iPhone 15 Pro Max (the best-selling model in th...
Today, judging from the three major indexes, they have all risen to the resistance level. It is estimated that the probability of the index rising next week is not high, but the probability of falling is not high either. I estimate that the market will be a market where the giants take turns to protect the market and the market will remain sideways until the Fed meeting. You can sell the giants that have risen too sharply this week, and then buy the giants that h...
When I think about Microsoft’s future stock performance, I consider several key factors that could influence its trajectory: 1. Financial Performance and Fundamentals I’m seeing strong growth in Microsoft’s cloud computing segment, particularly with Azure. It’s been one of the company’s fastest-growing businesses, and based on the Q2 2024 earnings report, Azure grew over 18%. Although there’s been a slight slowdown, it’s still a major driver of revenue. With the increasing gl...
The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on September 18th has garnered significant attention, with an interest rate cut almost certain. The key question remains: Will the Federal Reserve opt for a 25 basis point (bps) cut or a more aggressive 50 bps reduction? Each scenario is likely to trigger different market reactions, and the performance of certain assets could vary based on the magnitude of the cut. Market Reactions to a 25 bps Cut A 25 bps cut would signal a caut...
That being said, if you google about leveraged ETFs, you will see the red flag as below immediately.
Leveraged ETFs decay due to the compounding effect of daily returns, volatility...
$Uber Technologies (UBER.US)$ is up 8% & $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ is down 1% pre-market off this news 👀
The debate regarding AI capex ROIC s...
Initial indications are that the iPhone 16 series delivery times after pre-orders are shorter than for the iPhone 15 Pro Max & Vision Pro. A more accurate picture will emerge twenty-four hours after pre-orders begin.
Twenty-four hours after pre-orders began for the Vision Pro, the delivery time was 5-7 weeks (depending on different models or markets).
Twenty-four hours after pre-orders started for the iPhone 15 Pro Max (the best-selling model in th...
aapl
microsoft
smh
You can sell the giants that have risen too sharply this week, and then buy the giants that h...
1. Financial Performance and Fundamentals
I’m seeing strong growth in Microsoft’s cloud computing segment, particularly with Azure. It’s been one of the company’s fastest-growing businesses, and based on the Q2 2024 earnings report, Azure grew over 18%. Although there’s been a slight slowdown, it’s still a major driver of revenue. With the increasing gl...
Market Reactions to a 25 bps Cut
A 25 bps cut would signal a caut...
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