Banks - Regional
- 1100.191
- -8.915-0.80%
Close Nov 12 16:00 ET
1108.809High1095.723Low
1105.048Open1109.106Pre Close243.92MVolume110Rise14.50P/E (Static)7.01BTurnover15Flatline0.29%Turnover Ratio1.74TMarket Cap239Fall1.52TFloat Cap
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The narrative driving global asset markets is shifting from "rate cut bets" to the "Trump trade" as the November election draws near.
Platforms that allow users to bet on outcomes of events are pricing higher odds that former President Donald Trump could win the election. Polymarket data shows users are paying 61.70 cents per contract that will pay $1 if Trump wins, while contracts for Vice President Kamala Harris costs 38.30 cents each. Much li...
Platforms that allow users to bet on outcomes of events are pricing higher odds that former President Donald Trump could win the election. Polymarket data shows users are paying 61.70 cents per contract that will pay $1 if Trump wins, while contracts for Vice President Kamala Harris costs 38.30 cents each. Much li...
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Analysts predict inflation drop in 2024, foreseeing challenges for regional and small banks, especially those lacking adequate loan-loss reserves. They anticipate more bank failures due to rising borrower delinquencies and falling property values. Most commercial real estate issues are expected to be confined to office space. Some suggest the Federal Reserve may only significantly lower rates in Q4 2024, advising caution with exposure to a broad basket of regional banks in an ETF format.
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S&P is joining Moody’s in downgrading US banks.
The reasons they shared are negative impacts of higher interest rates and decline in deposits.
Futures are down right now. Let’s see how much impact this news has on the banking industry when the market opens again.
$Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $Morgan Stanley (MS.US)$ $JPMorgan (JPM.US)$ $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)$ $Invesco Kbw Regional Banking Etf (KBWR.US)$ $Citigroup (C.US)$ $Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.US)$ $Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares ETF (DPST.US)$ $Banks - Regional (LIST2456.US)$ $KeyCorp (KEY.US)$ $UMB Financial (UMBF.US)$
The reasons they shared are negative impacts of higher interest rates and decline in deposits.
Futures are down right now. Let’s see how much impact this news has on the banking industry when the market opens again.
$Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $Morgan Stanley (MS.US)$ $JPMorgan (JPM.US)$ $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)$ $Invesco Kbw Regional Banking Etf (KBWR.US)$ $Citigroup (C.US)$ $Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.US)$ $Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares ETF (DPST.US)$ $Banks - Regional (LIST2456.US)$ $KeyCorp (KEY.US)$ $UMB Financial (UMBF.US)$
From YouTube
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Columns Online Deposit Bank Rate Tracker: Which Online Bank Cranked Their Savings Account Rate up to 5%?
Online Savings Account League Table—Exhibit 1 is a league table of online savings accounts for the seven online banks we have been tracking since March 2022, plus Bread & Citizens. Bread has the highest savings account rate at 5.00%, followed by Sallie Mae at 4.75%.
Deposit Beta Update—Based on 525bps of cumulative Fed rate hikes, the +386bps average increase in online savings account rates would equa...
Deposit Beta Update—Based on 525bps of cumulative Fed rate hikes, the +386bps average increase in online savings account rates would equa...
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Not too worry if all $Banks - Regional (LIST2456.US)$ Bank Put options are above 65% . As long more put are added. The stock market will not fall. Only worry when Call options are 60% and above.. That will determine the index movement.
Solutions -
$Banks - Regional (LIST2456.US)$
Days before the announcement,
Find some US banks and buy 1k in Put and 500 in Call options. if dept goes defaults (this market crash first to go are all the small bank) 1k could bring you over the moon.
My favourite ~
MCB, WAL, ZION, CMA, BOH, IBTX, SFST, HTLF, INDB, CFG
or like me, put €100 on each and see how it goes 😏
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$
$E-mini Dow Futures(DEC4) (YMmain.US)$
$Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$
...
$Banks - Regional (LIST2456.US)$
Days before the announcement,
Find some US banks and buy 1k in Put and 500 in Call options. if dept goes defaults (this market crash first to go are all the small bank) 1k could bring you over the moon.
My favourite ~
MCB, WAL, ZION, CMA, BOH, IBTX, SFST, HTLF, INDB, CFG
or like me, put €100 on each and see how it goes 😏
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$
$E-mini Dow Futures(DEC4) (YMmain.US)$
$Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$
...
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Major indices were pretty flat again to start the new month.
Investors are digesting the news of JPMorgan acquiring First Republic.
Attention will also be on FOMC meeting that’s happening these 2 days.
The Fed is expected to raise its interest rate by another 25 basis points on Wed. This could be the last time for this tightening campaign.
But what if Powell says he needs another one? Wonder how will the market react.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $First Republic Bank (FRC.US)$ $JPMorgan (JPM.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $SoFi Technologies (SOFI.US)$ $Uber Technologies (UBER.US)$ $Intel (INTC.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $Starbucks (SBUX.US)$ $Adobe (ADBE.US)$ $Salesforce (CRM.US)$ $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ $Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $Banks - Regional (LIST2456.US)$ $Morgan Stanley (MS.US)$ $Silvergate Capital (SI.US)$ $KBW Nasdaq Bank Index (.BKX.US)$
Investors are digesting the news of JPMorgan acquiring First Republic.
Attention will also be on FOMC meeting that’s happening these 2 days.
The Fed is expected to raise its interest rate by another 25 basis points on Wed. This could be the last time for this tightening campaign.
But what if Powell says he needs another one? Wonder how will the market react.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF (TQQQ.US)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ.US)$ $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ $First Republic Bank (FRC.US)$ $JPMorgan (JPM.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $SoFi Technologies (SOFI.US)$ $Uber Technologies (UBER.US)$ $Intel (INTC.US)$ $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(DEC4) (NQmain.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures(DEC4) (ESmain.US)$ $Starbucks (SBUX.US)$ $Adobe (ADBE.US)$ $Salesforce (CRM.US)$ $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ $Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $Banks - Regional (LIST2456.US)$ $Morgan Stanley (MS.US)$ $Silvergate Capital (SI.US)$ $KBW Nasdaq Bank Index (.BKX.US)$
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A Humble Mooer : You can think Polymarket is neutral OR Musk asked his cultists to boost Trump and they are doing it.
wingk sol : Nice use of the Polymarket graphs. Polymark data is being integrated into the Bloomberg terminal.
wingk sol A Humble Mooer : Do you think the NYtimes is neutral OR Harris asked her lib cultists to boost her poll #s in that news outlet?
Adrianlim90 : 1
joemamaa : nice