$Li Auto(LI.US)$Sales of all EV brands in week 28 has been released today ( only in China mainland market). Good news: Li Auto can rival Tesla in terms of new week sales. Bad news: No one can see BYD’s tail light so far.
$Baidu(BIDU.US)$ Businesses are valued as the total discounted value of future cash flows (for simplification total of undiscounted cash in next 10y-20y, which currently for Baidu one year CF is 3bn) less net debt +20b (interest bearing liabilities (-10b) less cash (+30b)). At current price levels, Baidu business is 'expected' to be worth 14b, plus 20b cash reserves. Accordingly to valuation methods it should be 3bn (per year) x 10y = 30bn + 20bn net cash = 50...
$Baidu(BIDU.US)$continuing previous thread looks like Morgan Stanley is leading the crusade. Issuing lower and lower recommendations every month, making undermining statements opposite to general perception and falling out of line with all other analysts opinions/valuations. It seems as a simple strategy. Issue some bad headlines, short a bit on a low liquid market and have algos sell off a bunch more automatically, maybe starting small panic. Again, a going concern, profitable business cannot ...
104842512 Ti ff anyOPma gon:
Many people are hyping up for a short period of time; they are already extracting profits from it; they are not long-term holdings. This has a lot to do with the very weak sense of social responsibility that BIDU showed before. Originally, I had a strong belief in supporting Robottaxi, but its previous image wasn't very good in the public mind. If you switch to Huawei, the results will be different. The values and morals of an enterprise are very important.
ma gon :
I, opposite to the author, think this low valuation cannot persist. The last two days were some coordinated China sell off, fuelled by doubtful analyst opinions. If shorts were to close, and what else can they do when there is no more downside, with low liquidity it will recover fast.
Good news: Li Auto can rival Tesla in terms of new week sales.
Bad news: No one can see BYD’s tail light so far.
Businesses are valued as the total discounted value of future cash flows (for simplification total of undiscounted cash in next 10y-20y, which currently for Baidu one year CF is 3bn) less net debt +20b (interest bearing liabilities (-10b) less cash (+30b)).
At current price levels, Baidu business is 'expected' to be worth 14b, plus 20b cash reserves.
Accordingly to valuation methods it should be 3bn (per year) x 10y = 30bn + 20bn net cash = 50...
It seems as a simple strategy. Issue some bad headlines, short a bit on a low liquid market and have algos sell off a bunch more automatically, maybe starting small panic.
Again, a going concern, profitable business cannot ...
Next earnings in few days
No comment yet