Vanguard warns: The AI boom on Wall Street is facing a pullback.
Vanguard economist Joe Davis stated that the market has overestimated the short-term potential of AI technology, with current valuation levels approaching those of 1997, increasing the risk of a stock price "pullback". It is difficult to determine the timing of the pullback, and it is unknown whether it will start in 2025.
The Nasdaq index reached a new high, French stocks rose, the south korea etf narrowed after a 7% drop, and the offshore yuan briefly fell below 7.31 yuan.
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol abruptly declared a state of emergency, boosting safe-haven assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds, Japanese yen, and gold, while cryptos on the South Korean exchange plunged. The South Korean parliament quickly passed a resolution to lift the state of emergency, with the Ministry of Finance and the central bank actively working on market rescue measures. After a 2.7% drop to a two-year low, the won’s decline was cut in half, South Korean etfs fell by 1.6%, and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds turned to increase after hitting a new low in over a month. France is set to vote on dissolving the government as early as Wednesday, with French stocks following European markets upward, although they had previously declined during the day. The Dow Jones, small cap stocks, and semiconductor indices fell, while the China concept index once rose by 1.9%. The yuan hit a new low in a year during the day, and U.S. oil rose nearly 3% testing the $70 mark.
U.S. stocks closed: The S&P reached a historic high for the 55th time this year, while the index of Chinese concept stocks had four consecutive days of gains.
① The S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs, but the momentum is weak; ② A "nightmare" occurred with the south korea etf; ③ Tesla's "bullish investors" announced they will no longer go ALL-IN; ④ Apple is assessing the use of amazon chips to train AI models.
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Amazon announces the development of a supercomputer equipped with its own AI semiconductor.
Amazon Web Services (AWS), the cloud computing division of Amazon.com, reportedly announced on the 3rd that they have unveiled plans for the development of an AI supercomputer called "Ultracluster," which will house hundreds of thousands of their self-designed semiconductors named "Trainium," as well as new servers. It is reported that upon its operational launch in 2025, it is expected to become the world's largest for training AI models. Additionally, it is said that Nvidia is also involved in the project.
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Industry associations collectively call on domestic companies to be cautious in purchasing usa chips. Institutions provide this analysis as overseas semiconductor giants have repeatedly increased their investment in the china market.
① China has become the most important application market for the global IC industry. Institutions analyze that the new round of export controls by the usa has fractured the global semiconductor market and may also limit the development of usa's own enterprises; ② In the past two years, several overseas semiconductor companies have chosen to increase their investment in the china market and value the growth opportunities of chinese customers.
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