Macquarie predicts Churchill Downs will see double-digit EBITDA growth in 2025 and deliver $8+ of EPS, due to its acquisitions and capital projects. The firm also believes the company can support a >20x P/E multiple given its historical trading, annual dividend raises, and iconic asset.
The market's opinion of the business has improved over the past five years due to its growth. The recent sell-off could be an opportunity, as long-term shareholders have seen a 20% annual gain over five years. However, potential investors should note 2 warning signs.
The stock seems overpriced with future growth already factored into the current share price. The positive outlook for Churchill Downs is encouraging, but investors may consider selling high and buying back at industry PE ratio.
Investors show optimism for Churchill Downs' strong future growth, resulting in higher willingness to pay for its stock. A possible earnings decline is deemed insignificant, hence, no substantial drop in share price is anticipated soon.
Churchill Downs' growth pipeline might make a splash in the casino sector, according to Capital One. It signifies outperformance on revenue and expenditure, with margins poised to improve as it scales in historical racing machines and boosts efficiency after P2E transaction.
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Churchill Downs Stock Forum
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