Will gold continue to rise tonight after re-entering the $2500 mark? The industry is focusing on the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting, and gold is expected to continue to push higher.
① Once the annual meeting hints at a 50bp rate cut, the usd may continue to weaken, while gold and US stocks are expected to continue to rise; ② Based on the average performance of gold in the past ten years, gold prices tend to strengthen initially after the Jackson Hole meeting starts; ③ Recently, gold has been on a continuous uptrend, with a significant increase in COMEX net long positions and global gold ETF inflows providing support for gold prices.
UBS: The market is gradually adapting to the gold price of $2500, and there is still room for increased allocation in the future.
UBS Group expects that as the Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates, the holding cost of gold will decrease, leading to further inflow of funds into gold ETFs. Seasonal demand will drive the physical demand for gold in China and India to rebound. In addition, central banks around the world are still buying gold, and emerging market central banks still have room to increase their shareholding of gold.
The dollar is on the ground, gold is soaring, will the price reach $3000 next year? The RMB's surge suppressed domestic gold prices, and whether it will continue to appreciate remains to be seen.
The USD index once fell to a level below 101.3, close to the low point in half a year; while London gold was reported at $2,519 per ounce, which has risen by 22.14% since the beginning of the year. China's domestic gold has not reached a high point in sync, the analysis shows that this is due to the recent appreciation of the RMB being offset. If Trump takes office and imposes tariffs on China, expectations of further depreciation of the RMB and resurgence of carry trades may be revived.
AU Evening Wrap | ASX Rises with Record Gains from WiseTech, Brambles, and Charter Hall
The momentum is not slowing down! Spot gold prices hit a high of $2526, and futures prices also set a new record.
① The spot price of gold suddenly surged more than $20, reaching a high of $2526.22 per ounce, once again hitting a historical high on Friday; ② The CME Group's "FedWatch" tool shows that the median prediction is that "25 basis points + 25 basis points + 25 basis points" is the most likely cut path for the bank this year.
Gold Nears Record Highs Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty And Fed Speculations
Gold prices continue to break records, and bullish sentiment remains high. Major banks predict that it may reach 3,000 next year.
Sabrin Chowdhury, the head of BMI commodity analysis, said "2024 is expected to be a year when gold sets multiple new highs", emphasizing the appeal of gold as a safe haven asset. Citigroup analysts predict a target price of $3,000 per ounce by mid-2025, with an average price expected to be $2,550 in the fourth quarter of this year.
Union at BHP's Escondida Copper Mine Signs Labor Deal, Ending Strike Risk
After the new high in gold price, the golden industrial concept rose across the board! A summary of the performance during the interim reporting season.
① Last Friday, the spot gold price set a new record high, historically, the gold on the commodity side has risen after the Fed rate cut; ② The central bank has not increased its gold holdings for three consecutive months, but considering the many uncertainties in the future, institutions believe that the central price of gold will still move upward.
Gold hits a new record high, Eu raises smallpox epidemic alert level | Global Market
① S&P, Nasdaq rose for 7 consecutive days, and the three major indexes of US stocks jointly recorded the largest weekly increase this year; ② The Fed's interest rate cut cycle is approaching, and spot gold has historically exceeded $2,500/ounce for the first time; ③ Officials in multiple countries expect that "Iran will postpone retaliation plans" and US Secretary of State flew to the Middle East on Saturday; ④ The EU has raised the monkeypox epidemic alert level, and multiple news have stimulated monkeypox concept stocks to continue rising.
Strike Ends at Chile's Escondida Copper Mine as BHP, Union Reach Preliminary Deal
Risk of Further Unplanned Disruptions in Copper Remains High Amid Escondida Standoff - ANZ
US Inflation Eases for Fourth Straight Month
Strike Continues at World's Biggest Copper Mine as New Talks Rejected
BHP Faces Prolonged Strike Threat At The Largest Global Copper Mine
Global Gold Demand Hits Record in Q2 As Investors Push Price Higher
Copper Mining Breakthrough: How Strategic Partnerships Are Paying Off
Southern Copper Goes Ex Dividend Tomorrow
AU Evening Wrap | Mining Stocks Weigh on ASX, AMP Shares Surge 13%
Metals Commodities, Related Stocks Plunge as Global Market Turmoil Spreads