The interest rates of the same industry certificates of deposit are rapidly declining, and under "moderately loose" conditions, there is hope to drop to 1.30%.
1. After the improvement in MMF transmission efficiency, the CD interest rate and the 7-day OMO rate will integrate within the next year. 2. Due to the faster decline of long-term bonds, the spread between the 10Y government bond and the 1Y CD has been compressing, and is currently at 13BP.
The interest rates for consumer loans at some "2"-tier banks will decrease by 10 basis points again in December, while the lowest interest rate at major banks has already dropped by 50 basis points this year.
① The consumer loan products promoted by banks with extremely low interest rates are mostly aimed at high-quality customers, so it is important for customers to pay attention to the actual interest rate level when applying, and then decide whether to borrow. ② The reduction in personal consumer loan interest rates helps to lower the costs for holders of consumer crediting, promoting demand for consumer crediting, and thus driving consumption.
As the year-end approaches, many banks are warning about the "standard usage of credit cards" and will periodically take control measures against abnormal customers.
Since late November, more than ten banks have intensively issued reminders about the "standard use of credit cards," including several national commercial banks and many local small and medium-sized banks; on December 6, Qilu Bank issued a reminder that consumers must not rent or lend their credit cards, and it is prohibited for others to make repayments on their behalf, "irregular control will be implemented on abnormal customers."
There are still "2" denominations! Many local banks are intensively issuing large-denomination certificates of deposit at the end of the year, and state-owned big banks and listed banks are also "mixed in".
① Especially since late November, about 20 local banks across the country have intensively announced the launch of large-denomination certificates of deposit. Furthermore, some annualized interest rates are still above 2%. ② Recently, some state-owned major banks have also been "quietly" promoting their own large-denomination certificate of deposit products, and listed banks are also introducing related products.
In many areas of fujian, mortgage rates have been adjusted to 3.1%. Experts say that ultra-low rates are unsustainable and banks are correcting their "involution-style" competition.
①In multiple cities in Fujian Province including Xiamen, Fuzhou, Putian, etc., the housing loan interest rate has been uniformly raised from 3.05% to 3.1%. ②The unclear lower limit of interest rates has caused internal price competition among banks, this adjustment is a correction to excessively low interest rates and does not mean policy tightening.
The no-card deposit and withdrawal business continues to tighten, with about 20 banks officially announcing adjustments to the business, leading to diffusion among small and medium banks since November.
① Since November, about 20 banks have announced restrictions on cardless deposit and withdrawal services. Throughout the year, at least 50 various banks, including state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, and small to medium-sized banks have successively announced tightened cardless services. ② From the announcements released by each bank, their reasons for adjusting cardless services are basically consistent—risk control.
In November, the MLF volume continued to shrink. Previously, the 500 billion buy-back reverse repurchase has released medium-term liquidity ahead of schedule. The industry expects the reserve requirement ratio cut to be implemented faster.
①The funding operation mode of shortening and lengthening funds continues. On the one hand, the central bank continues to reduce the MLF operations volume, reduce the existing stock to mitigate its impact on the liquidity market. On the other hand, short-term funds continue to be net injected to hedge against cross-month fund pressure, strengthening the guiding position of reverse repurchase agreements on market interest rates. ②Local government bonds are centrally supplied, and the MLF is likely to see a quicker implementation under the reduced volume environment.
Rare! This rural commercial bank is offering a 5-year fixed deposit interest rate of 1.5%, which is lower than the 1.55% level of state-owned banks. It is referred to as a "case" in the industry.
①Recently, Wuxiang Rural Commercial Bank adjusted the deposit execution interest rates, lowering the execution interest rates for personal fixed-term deposits of two years, three years, and five years to 1.5%, with the five-year execution interest rate being lowered below the lowest level of the state-owned banks' published rates. ②The phenomenon of the aforementioned rural commercial bank reducing rates beyond the mid- to long-term levels of state-owned banks is still considered an isolated case.
Banks' dormant account cleanup is gradually extending to corporate accounts. This rural commercial bank announced that it will clean up long-suspended accounts of units, and many other banks are also handling this.
On the morning of November 20, Jinchang Rural Commercial Bank announced that it will clean up and close some unit bank settlement accounts that have been inactive for a long time. Recently, some banks have adopted similar practices to Jinchang Rural Commercial Bank, including Dangyang Rural Commercial Bank, China Construction Bank Weifang Branch, Bank of Nanjing.
The unchanged LPR in November meets market expectations. Industry insiders do not rule out the possibility of further interest rate cuts next year along with the reverse repurchase rate.
① By the end of the year, the economic running is expected to continue its upward trend, with policy interest rates likely to remain stable and LPR quote also expected to stay unchanged. ② There is a high possibility of further reductions in deposit rates in the future, coupled with the issuance of special treasury bonds to support large state-owned commercial banks in replenishing their core tier one capital, which is expected to gradually alleviate the interest spread and operational pressure for commercial banks. It is possible that next year the LPR quote may be accompanied by further interest rate cuts on reverse repurchase agreements.
Interbank current deposit rates are significantly higher than policy rates. Some large banks face high liability pressures. The market expects pricing levels to be regulated.
1. Some banks' interbank current deposit rates are significantly higher than the current policy rates, significantly impacting short-term interest rates and increasing banks' liability costs. 2. The market anticipates that in the future, the level of interbank current deposit rates will be reasonably determined, effectively reducing banks' liability costs.
Deposit interest rates have generally declined, low volatility wealth management and large-denomination certificates of deposit have been promoted. Some small and medium-sized banks still maintain a relative advantage in large-denomination certificate of
①Although the interest rate level of large-denomination certificates of deposit has decreased somewhat, compared with ordinary time deposits, large-denomination certificates of deposit have a relatively high level of return. In addition, relatively speaking, the interest rates of some small and medium-sized banks are relatively high. ②For residents, it is recommended to diversify asset allocation based on their own risk tolerance and investment and financial management needs.
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Brokerage morning meeting highlights: China's semiconductor industry's domestic market demand and self-controllable direction are clear.
At today's brokerage morning meeting, citic sec believes that the domestic market and self-controllable direction are clear development directions for China's semiconductor industry; gtja pointed out that the improvement in domestic demand is expected to continue to heat up, highlighting the elasticity of baijiu; htsc stated that bank performance is expected to stabilize, seizing structural opportunities.
Pan Gongsheng: steadily promoting the opening up of the financial services industry and financial market systems, expanding the interconnection of domestic and foreign financial markets.
①The fundamentals of the Chinese economy, the broad market, strong economic resilience, and great potential have not changed; ② Continue to adhere to the supportive mmf policy, strengthen communication with the market, and constantly improve the quality and effectiveness of financial services.
Large banks are accelerating their expansion to lower-tier cities! The balance of inclusive small and micro loans is increasing while interest rates are decreasing. Small and medium-sized banks are speeding up to attract customers.
From the perspective of inclusive finance, state-owned banks continue to lower the average interest rate on inclusive loans for small and micro enterprises this year, while the loan balance has grown rapidly since the beginning of the year. Joint-stock banks and city commercial banks, on the other hand, compete for customers based on service quality.
China Shenhua Energy Reports Q3 Results
Rules for the normalization of existing house loan interest rates have arrived! Understand it in one article.
①Preliminary statistics show that as of October 28, 21 nationwide banks have completed batch adjustments, totaling 53.667 million transactions, reducing the outstanding housing loan interest rates by 25.2 trillion yuan. ②After this round of batch adjustments, the interest rates for existing housing loans have been reduced to 3.3%. If the gap between existing and new housing loan rates is greater than 30 basis points, it will drive a new round of reductions in existing housing loan rates.
The operating conditions of the six major state-owned banks in the first three quarters have all been revealed, with a total net profit attributable to the parent company exceeding 1 trillion, earning 3.867 billion per day, and the overall asset quality i
As of October 30, the quarterly reports of state-owned major banks have all been disclosed. Among the six state-owned major banks, the revenues of ICBC, ABC, and BOC for the first nine months year-on-year. Bank of Communications, Agricultural Bank of China, China Construction Bank showed that the proportion of time deposits is still rising.
The net profit of the top three coal giants declined overall in the first three quarters, with the leader Shenhua seeing a double increase in net profit in the third quarter compared to the previous quarter. | Interpretations
①Affected by the downward trend of coal prices, the performance of coal listed companies in the first three quarters generally declined, but with differentiated performance in Q3; ②Regarding the future trend of coal prices, the industry generally believes that there is hope for a recovery after hitting the bottom, but the magnitude of the increase is limited.