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On Trump's "first day," Emerging Markets faced difficulties, setting several records.
The opening price of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index based on expected PE is 46% lower than the S&P 500 Index, marking the largest gap since Obama's first inauguration in 2009; the average yield of local currency bonds in Emerging Markets is also lower than the yield of USA Treasuries. Analysis indicates that due to USA policy actions, a strong dollar, and high USA interest rates, Emerging Markets stocks are underweighted by investors.
The "big trouble" Trump is coming, and Emerging Markets stock indices have fallen into a Range adjustment.
As of this Thursday, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index has dropped 10% from its high three months ago. According to Bank of America, during the week ending November 13 of last year, following the USA elections, there was a total outflow of 7.5 billion USD from Global Emerging Markets Stocks Fund, marking the largest weekly outflow in a decade.
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