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Here's the Breakdown for November CPI, in One Chart
Trump is reportedly set to ring the bell at the NYSE today. What does it signify?
① According to media reports, the USA's incoming president Trump will go to the NYSE on Thursday to ring the opening bell and deliver a speech; ② There are reports that Trump will be named Time Magazine's Person of the Year for 2024, but this has not yet been confirmed by Time; ③ Since Trump's announcement of victory, the three major US stock indices have risen repeatedly, with the market encouraged by promises of tax cuts and deregulation.
The Nasdaq hits 20,000 points! Besides US bonds, US investors are buying everything.
After the release of USA's November CPI data on Wednesday, investors seem to have finally "confirmed" that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week is a done deal; financial markets across asset classes on Wednesday also appeared quite uplifting; apart from the decline in USA Treasuries, investors are buying everything else - USA stocks are rising, Gold is rising, the dollar is rising, Crude Oil Product is rising, and Cryptos are rising...
“Wall Street magic calculator”: US stocks will rise and then fall next year Trump and Musk will risk falling
① Tom Lee, the co-founder of Fundstrat, known as the "Wall Street Oracle," predicts a mid-year target of 7000 points for the S&P 500 Index in 2025, with a year-end target of 6600 points, reflecting an overall increase of 8%. ② He believes that supporting factors for the US stock market next year include interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and Trump's tax cut policy, but Musk's Government Efficiency Department and Trump's tariffs may hurt the USA GDP.
The NASDAQ broke through 0.02 million points for the first time, Tesla led a group of tech giants to a new high, and Bitcoin climbed to 0.1 million dollars
The Dow and Apple fell, the Nasdaq rose nearly 2%, Tesla and Google rose nearly 6%, while Meta, Amazon, and Netflix all reached new highs. NVIDIA rose over 3%, Broadcom rose nearly 7%, Super Micro Computer once dropped over 8%, the decline of Chinese concepts narrowed, and Fangdd Network turned to rise over 11%. The U.S. November CPI confirms interest rate cut bets for next week, with a pause on rate cuts expected in January next year. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded in a V-shape, while spot Gold reached its highest level in five weeks. The yen plunged below 152, while the offshore yuan once dropped over 300 points, falling below 7.29 yuan. After a significant interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada, the Canadian dollar and Canadian bond yields turned to rise, and oil prices increased by about 2%.
Overnight U.S. stocks | The Nasdaq broke 0.02 million points, setting a historical high, and Musk became the first person in the world with a net worth exceeding 400 billion.
As of the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 99.27 points, a decrease of 0.22%, closing at 44,148.56 points; the Nasdaq rose 347.65 points, an increase of 1.77%, closing at 20,034.89 points; the S&P 500 Index rose 49.28 points, an increase of 0.82%, closing at 6,084.19 points.
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Wall Street interprets the CPI: no change to the Fed's "gradual easing," core inflation remains strong supporting the pause in interest rate cuts in January.
Analysis suggests that the CPI, which meets expectations, demonstrates that the cooling of inflation has basically stagnated in recent months. While this is not enough to disrupt the year-end bull market in U.S. stocks, it also means that an interest rate cut next week is not guaranteed, especially with the potential inflation upward risks brought by Trump's tariffs and fiscal expansion next year drawing attention. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries first fell and then rose.
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It will take at least another 7 years! Microsoft's AI CEO rebutted Ultraman: current Hardware is insufficient, and AGI won't come that quickly.
The OpenAI CEO expects that AGI could be achieved by 2025, while the Anthropic CEO predicts a time frame of 2026-2027. Microsoft's AI leader Mustafa Suleyman emphasizes that current Hardware cannot achieve AGI, but believes that breakthroughs might occur during the iterations of Hardware technology over the next two to five generations, with a higher probability of reaching AGI within the next five to seven years.
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