The interest rates of the same industry certificates of deposit are rapidly declining, and under "moderately loose" conditions, there is hope to drop to 1.30%.
1. After the improvement in MMF transmission efficiency, the CD interest rate and the 7-day OMO rate will integrate within the next year. 2. Due to the faster decline of long-term bonds, the spread between the 10Y government bond and the 1Y CD has been compressing, and is currently at 13BP.
The interest rates for consumer loans at some "2"-tier banks will decrease by 10 basis points again in December, while the lowest interest rate at major banks has already dropped by 50 basis points this year.
① The consumer loan products promoted by banks with extremely low interest rates are mostly aimed at high-quality customers, so it is important for customers to pay attention to the actual interest rate level when applying, and then decide whether to borrow. ② The reduction in personal consumer loan interest rates helps to lower the costs for holders of consumer crediting, promoting demand for consumer crediting, and thus driving consumption.
Last night, china assets went "crazy."
Overnight, the nasdaq Golden Dragon china index rose over 8.5%, marking the best single-day performance since the end of September. Popular Chinese concept etfs surged collectively: the largest MCHI increased by 7.7%, the FXI, which tracks large Chinese companies in the Hong Kong stock market, rose over 8%, and the only major Chinese concept etf tracking the A-share market, ASHR, gained nearly 7%. The most insane increase came from the three times leveraged FTSE China, YINN, which soared 24% overnight and continued to rise over 2% after hours.
As the year-end approaches, many banks are warning about the "standard usage of credit cards" and will periodically take control measures against abnormal customers.
Since late November, more than ten banks have intensively issued reminders about the "standard use of credit cards," including several national commercial banks and many local small and medium-sized banks; on December 6, Qilu Bank issued a reminder that consumers must not rent or lend their credit cards, and it is prohibited for others to make repayments on their behalf, "irregular control will be implemented on abnormal customers."
The gaming industry will welcome two major conferences! Representatives from dozens of gaming companies will share the stage to discuss topics such as 2D, AI, overseas expansion, and casual games.
As the year-end approaches, the Beijing Shougang International Exhibition Center will host two major annual events in the gaming industry: the 2024 China eSports Industry Annual Conference will be held on December 10-11; the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference will take place on December 12-13. Representatives from listed gaming companies including Tencent, netease, 37 interactive entertainment network technology group, special treat Huatuo, and kingnet network will attend and will share insights on topics such as eSports, game AI, and overseas expansion.
Ubisoft Stock Jumps 14% After Reports Of Tencent Buyout
There are still "2" denominations! Many local banks are intensively issuing large-denomination certificates of deposit at the end of the year, and state-owned big banks and listed banks are also "mixed in".
① Especially since late November, about 20 local banks across the country have intensively announced the launch of large-denomination certificates of deposit. Furthermore, some annualized interest rates are still above 2%. ② Recently, some state-owned major banks have also been "quietly" promoting their own large-denomination certificate of deposit products, and listed banks are also introducing related products.
In many areas of fujian, mortgage rates have been adjusted to 3.1%. Experts say that ultra-low rates are unsustainable and banks are correcting their "involution-style" competition.
①In multiple cities in Fujian Province including Xiamen, Fuzhou, Putian, etc., the housing loan interest rate has been uniformly raised from 3.05% to 3.1%. ②The unclear lower limit of interest rates has caused internal price competition among banks, this adjustment is a correction to excessively low interest rates and does not mean policy tightening.
The Tencent version of 'Sora' joins the text-to-video battlefield.
Still in the exploration phase.
The no-card deposit and withdrawal business continues to tighten, with about 20 banks officially announcing adjustments to the business, leading to diffusion among small and medium banks since November.
① Since November, about 20 banks have announced restrictions on cardless deposit and withdrawal services. Throughout the year, at least 50 various banks, including state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, and small to medium-sized banks have successively announced tightened cardless services. ② From the announcements released by each bank, their reasons for adjusting cardless services are basically consistent—risk control.
AI guru started to shuffle madly.
Integration is on the rise.
Wang Xiao, partner at Qicheng Capital: In the era of consumer market stock, "competing on price" and "competing on value" are both important | Direct hit on the new consumption power conference.
1. Online retail has differentiated from shelf e-commerce to a type represented by pdd holdings, focusing on individual products and price mechanisms, as well as content e-commerce represented by Douyin. Both forms of e-commerce achieve precise matching of supply and demand through efficient algorithms and mechanisms. 2. In a market environment of stagnant or even declining volume, companies need to shift from opportunity-driven to capability-driven, from growth-first to efficiency-first, and from scale-oriented to value-oriented.
In November, the MLF volume continued to shrink. Previously, the 500 billion buy-back reverse repurchase has released medium-term liquidity ahead of schedule. The industry expects the reserve requirement ratio cut to be implemented faster.
①The funding operation mode of shortening and lengthening funds continues. On the one hand, the central bank continues to reduce the MLF operations volume, reduce the existing stock to mitigate its impact on the liquidity market. On the other hand, short-term funds continue to be net injected to hedge against cross-month fund pressure, strengthening the guiding position of reverse repurchase agreements on market interest rates. ②Local government bonds are centrally supplied, and the MLF is likely to see a quicker implementation under the reduced volume environment.
Rare! This rural commercial bank is offering a 5-year fixed deposit interest rate of 1.5%, which is lower than the 1.55% level of state-owned banks. It is referred to as a "case" in the industry.
①Recently, Wuxiang Rural Commercial Bank adjusted the deposit execution interest rates, lowering the execution interest rates for personal fixed-term deposits of two years, three years, and five years to 1.5%, with the five-year execution interest rate being lowered below the lowest level of the state-owned banks' published rates. ②The phenomenon of the aforementioned rural commercial bank reducing rates beyond the mid- to long-term levels of state-owned banks is still considered an isolated case.
Banks' dormant account cleanup is gradually extending to corporate accounts. This rural commercial bank announced that it will clean up long-suspended accounts of units, and many other banks are also handling this.
On the morning of November 20, Jinchang Rural Commercial Bank announced that it will clean up and close some unit bank settlement accounts that have been inactive for a long time. Recently, some banks have adopted similar practices to Jinchang Rural Commercial Bank, including Dangyang Rural Commercial Bank, China Construction Bank Weifang Branch, Bank of Nanjing.
The unchanged LPR in November meets market expectations. Industry insiders do not rule out the possibility of further interest rate cuts next year along with the reverse repurchase rate.
① By the end of the year, the economic running is expected to continue its upward trend, with policy interest rates likely to remain stable and LPR quote also expected to stay unchanged. ② There is a high possibility of further reductions in deposit rates in the future, coupled with the issuance of special treasury bonds to support large state-owned commercial banks in replenishing their core tier one capital, which is expected to gradually alleviate the interest spread and operational pressure for commercial banks. It is possible that next year the LPR quote may be accompanied by further interest rate cuts on reverse repurchase agreements.
Chinese Retail Sales Pickup In October: Here's What's Happening With Alibaba, JD And Pinduoduo Shares
"Smart money" is betting on china becoming a trend: In Q3, the prototype of the "big short" increased shareholding in Alibaba and other Chinese concepts, while the rising fund Keystone established positions in three major etfs.
In the third quarter, the fund under Michael Burry increased its shareholding in Alibaba by 0.045 million shares to nearly 0.2 million shares, doubled its hold positions in jd.com to 0.5 million shares, and increased its shareholding in baidu by 0.05 million shares to 0.125 million shares. At the end of the quarter, it held three Chinese concept stocks valued at 54 million dollars, accounting for 65% of the total fund's stock holdings. Meanwhile, the fund bought corresponding put options for these three Chinese concept stocks to hedge risks.
Support insurance companies to increase the maximum insurable age and enhance the mobile app's aging-friendly upgrade. The new financial aging-friendly regulations have arrived.
1. The current supply of the third pillar financial products for retirement in China is still limited, with issues such as some retirement savings unable to be locked for retirement purposes, limited supply of retirement financial products, and the need to strengthen the diversity and accessibility of retirement insurance. 2. The guidelines propose increasing the research and development efforts of elderly financial products, supporting insurance companies to raise the upper age limit for insurance, and emphasizing the insurance protection needs of individuals aged 70 and above.
Interbank current deposit rates are significantly higher than policy rates. Some large banks face high liability pressures. The market expects pricing levels to be regulated.
1. Some banks' interbank current deposit rates are significantly higher than the current policy rates, significantly impacting short-term interest rates and increasing banks' liability costs. 2. The market anticipates that in the future, the level of interbank current deposit rates will be reasonably determined, effectively reducing banks' liability costs.