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Huaxi Securities: Gold is currently in a long upward cycle and if the price falls in the future, it is expected to drive central banks around the world to purchase gold again.
According to a strategy research report from Huaxi Securities, in the long term, gold is in a large upward cycle. Firstly, in recent years, the scale of US debt has been expanding at an accelerated pace, and the pressure of interest payment continues to rise. After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States imposed financial sanctions on Russia, which has impacted the credibility of the US dollar. Due to concerns about the risk of US dollar credit and US dollar assets, central banks worldwide continue to increase their gold reserves.
Optimistic prospects for interest rate cuts have led to a general increase in major overseas asset classes such as US stocks, gold, silver, and crude oil. Weekly report on major overseas assets.
After the release of non-farm data for the week of July 1-5, the US stock and bond markets rose and the US dollar came under pressure. Upon realizing the 'data detail' that the data in the first two months before non-farm was cut by 0.11 million, US bonds sharply rebounded and the yield curve became steeper.
Gold and silver hit new one-month highs! Behind it is not only the boost of non-agricultural employment, but also the "big purchases" of the Reserve Bank of India.
The Non-Farm Payroll report released a significant signal of cooling in the US labor market, with expectations of a Fed interest rate cut rising and the US dollar under pressure. India's central bank gold reserves increased by over 9 tons in June, the highest level since July 2022.
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