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What happened? Trump's winning percentage plummeted, and "Trump trade" fell across the board......
According to the latest data from the highly anticipated election prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of Trump winning this year's election has now dropped to 54.5%. Keep in mind, just last Friday, Trump's chances of winning were still as high as 63.2%; The sharp drop in Trump's chances of winning is related to a key 'red state' poll released over the weekend: Iowa.