Goldman Sachs top traders respond to investors' most pressing question: Global stock markets, should you chase gains or not?
Goldman Sachs' head of hedge fund research Tony Pasquariello stated in the latest report that he still believes the market's main trend is upward, and certainly does not intend to stand in front of the central bank's 'cannons,' however, the market has already priced in much of these. There are two additional factors to pay attention to: earnings season and the US presidential election. China's policies have shifted, marking the beginning of a new trading cycle.
UltraShort Dow30 Declares Quarterly Distribution of $0.4128
Is the US stock market still in the early stages of a bull market? Seasoned investors: the future may present a situation of "everything goes up"!
①Senior investor Eric Jackson said that the US stock market may see a situation where "everything is rising", especially technology stocks; ② He pointed out that the current economic growth and interest rate environment are reminiscent of the early stages of the 1982 bull market, which was one of the best-performing bull markets in US stock market history.
Aim at 6000 points! Goldman Sachs: US stocks will face a smooth road after the presidential election, with middle cap stocks holding opportunities.
①Recently, with the boost of interest rate cuts, the bullish trend of US stocks reaching new highs seems unstoppable. Behind this lively performance, many Wall Street giants are clearly happy to add fuel to the fire... ②Goldman Sachs Chief US Stock Strategist David Kostin predicted on Tuesday that once the dust settles from the US presidential election, the US stock market is expected to continue to rise.
Goldman Sachs insiders are calling for continued optimism! Consensus suggests that after the election, the US stock market will continue to rise.
Goldman Sachs' Chief US Stocks Strategist David Kostin stated that once the results of the US presidential election are confirmed, it is clear that the US stocks will continue to rise. He expects the s&p 500 index to trade around 6000 points in a year.
Fed and Politics: Central Bank Delivers Jumbo Rate Cut Ahead of Presidential Election
One word sets off the global market, Powell said it ten times!
"Recalibration" of the cost-cutting of 50 basis points is the latest interpretation, igniting market risk appetite and boosting the rise of small cap stocks. However, there are opposing voices that believe the 50 basis point rate cut is mainly to address economic recession. If the subsequent economic deterioration forces the Fed to cut rates more aggressively, can we still use "recalibration" as an excuse?
Has the Fed's interest rate cut come too late? "Bond King" Gundlach: The US economy may already be in a recession.
Although the US stock market is delighted by the significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, "bond king" Jeff Gundlach still believes that the Fed's interest rate cut came too late; Gundlach believes that the continuously increasing number of unemployed in the United States indicates that the US economy has entered a recession.
US "initial claims" data hits four-month low, enhancing the Federal Reserve's vision of a "soft landing".
①As of the week ending September 14, the seasonally adjusted number of initial claims for unemployment benefits was 2.19 million, the lowest reported since May 25 this year; ②jefferies financial analyst wrote that although this number has been gradually increasing since the beginning of this year, the growth rate is very moderate and is difficult to be seen as a sign of economic contraction.
The interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has become the focus of the market again, with the narrative of the US economy's soft landing.
This week, the Federal Reserve held its most important meeting in recent history, with all investors' attention focused on one question: Did the Federal Reserve initiate a timely rate-cutting cycle to prevent the economy from slowing down too quickly?
Loose cycle begins! Take history as a lesson: There is a hidden connection between FED interest rate adjustments and election results.
①There is less than 7 weeks until the November 5th election. ②When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the party in control of the White House has lost 5 out of 6 elections.
A review of Powell's speech: There is no fixed interest rate path, and there is currently no sign of a recession in the US economy.
①Powell said that there are currently no signs of a recession in the US economy, and he does not believe that an economic recession is imminent; ②Powell emphasized that no fixed interest rate path has been set and decisions will be made progressively through meetings.
History Shows U.S. Markets Do Well After Fed Rate Cuts
Tonight, the world is paying close attention! The "giant ship" of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will officially set sail.
①For the global financial markets, tonight is destined to be a sleepless night... ②As scheduled, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce the September interest rate decision at 2:00 AM Beijing time on Thursday; ③It is generally expected in the industry that the Federal Reserve will announce the first rate cut in 4 years at this meeting, with little suspense, but at the same time, this is also the most 'mysterious' or uncertain Federal Reserve interest rate night in recent years.
The Fed's interest rate cut is coming tonight! Wall Street economists: It will start the era of dollar depreciation.
On Thursday morning Beijing time, the global market will witness a significant moment: the announcement of the September interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Point72 Asset Management's strategist and economist Sofia Delrosso believes that this rate cut by the Fed will be a major moment, marking the official entry of the US dollar into a downward trend and providing a boost to the economies in other parts of the world.
Wall Street is 'guessing the intention': will it be a 50 or 25 basis point rate cut? The next 12 hours will reveal the answer.
If there is no media report about a 25 basis point interest rate hike before Wednesday, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate hike on Wednesday will increase further. The media trend in the next 12 hours is crucial and may ultimately determine market pricing.
Look for Jumbo Rate Cut and Relatively Dovish Tone From Fed: J.P. Morgan Research Chief
Democratic Senators Send Letter to Powell Advocating for a 75-basis Point Rate Cut
Market Drumbeat for 50bp Rate Cut Persists Ahead of Retail Sales Going Into Fed Meeting
UBS Sits in the 25-basis Point Rate Cut Camp Ahead of the FOMC Meeting