Banks' stocks are experiencing a "rare" big drop, JPMorgan: There is no reason for it!
JPMorgan believes that the trend of funds flowing into high-yielding stocks will continue, and the performance of bank stocks is not significantly below expectations. The performance growth rate of JPMorgan, Bank of Communications, Ningbo Bank, and China Citic Bank in the first half of 2024 and expected earnings for the fiscal year 2024 are still on track, so there is no need to overly worry about banks reducing dividends due to capital pressure.
The effect of interest rate cuts on deposits is gradually becoming apparent, with interest expenses of many national banks decreasing in the first half of the year, and some banks reducing by more than 7%.
① According to the semi-annual reports of joint stock banks and state-owned banks, although the trend of deposit regularization is obvious, and coupled with the expansion of deposit scale, the cost of debt has actually been reduced for many banks. ② Recent earnings conferences have shown that executives of various banks have expressed the need to adjust the asset-liability structure, strengthen cost control of liabilities, and attract low-cost deposits. This will be the focus and deployment direction for commercial banks in the second half of the year.
Bank stocks firmly hold the "iron throne"! The total market value of the six major banks surpasses that of the GEM, with multiple stocks reaching new highs this year.
①The total market value of the six major banks has increased from 6.64 trillion yuan at the end of last year to the current 8.79 trillion yuan, with a total market value increase of over 2 trillion yuan. ②The total market value of the chinext price index has decreased from 11.39 trillion yuan at the end of last year to the current 8.67 trillion yuan.
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A new round of interest rate cuts for deposits is about to end its first month: small and medium-sized banks continue to follow suit, and some banks have made a second adjustment within the month. Is there still room for further cuts?
① In the context of market interest rate decline, banks are facing continuous pressure to narrow their net interest margin. Some banks have directly lowered deposit interest rates, while others have adjusted them in a phased manner. ② The phenomenon of inverted deposit interest rates is the result of the combined effects of macroeconomic conditions, bank operational strategies, policy guidance, and market expectations.
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What is the reason for the year-on-year decrease in net profit of some private banks? The Financial Regulatory Bureau responded.
Liao Yuanyuan said that the net income growth rate of private banks has experienced negative growth. Mainly because these banks have significantly increased their provisions compared to the same period last year, which directly affects the current profits and leads to a temporary decline in net income of private banks.
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August LPR quote remaining unchanged meets market expectations. Industry experts predict that the main policy interest rate in the fourth quarter may be cut again, which will guide LPR to adjust accordingly.
Last month, the two LPR quotes for different maturity varieties were just lowered by 10 basis points respectively. In addition, the main policy interest rate of the central bank before this quote (7-day reverse repo rate) remained stable. Therefore, the unchanged LPR quotes for the two maturities in August are in line with market expectations.
Adjustments are imminent! Many agency platforms are facing a wave of delisting for dozens of old products with a reserved interest rate of 3% on insurance products.
Ant Insurance, Huize and other insurance agency platforms have released reminders that nearly 30 insurance products with a 3% reservation rate will be taken off the shelves at the end of this month. Industry insiders have analyzed that after the reservation rate is lowered, the yield of savings-type products will decrease by approximately 14%, while premiums for guarantee-type insurance such as critical illness insurance are expected to increase by 20%.
Alibaba's 'Going Abroad Partner' program aims to accelerate profits.
It is already the biggest driving force behind Alibaba's revenue.
Banks are intensively launching deposit benefits campaigns, and the effort to attract deposits is increasing. Can the idea of "high interest to attract deposits" be continued?
- With the further reduction of deposit interest rates and the emergence of deposit migration phenomenon, many banks have launched a series of deposit-related welfare activities to attract and stabilize deposits. - Experts believe that attracting deposits with welfare and gifts still has the suspicion of "high-interest deposits", which will inevitably increase the liabilities cost of some banks. Therefore, banks need to closely follow the pain points of customer preferences to improve the quality of financial services.
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Hedge fund guru David Tepper firmly holds Chinese concept stocks: he holds JD.com and Ke Holdings, while reducing shareholdings in Alibaba and PDD Holdings.
China stocks and ETFs account for 26% of its fund stock investment portfolio.
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Aliyun wants to use AI to disrupt the domain industry.
First domain AI big model application.
S&P rises over 2%, the best in nearly two years, with chip stocks up about 7%, Nasdaq and Chinese stocks up 2.8%, and US Treasury yields and the yen falling for three consecutive days.
The latest employment data alleviates concerns over the US economy, and US stocks rose more than 1.7%. Nvidia's stock rose more than 6%, and Tesla, Alibaba, PDD Holdings, and Tencent ADR rose more than 3%. Bullish on weight loss drug reports, Eli Lilly and Co's stock rose more than 13%, and Novo-Nordisk A/S's US stock rose nearly 8%. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 4%, and short-term bond yields rose by 10 basis points. Oil prices rose for the third consecutive day, gold halted its five-day decline, and digital currency had a big increase.
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