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Banks' stocks are experiencing a "rare" big drop, JPMorgan: There is no reason for it!
JPMorgan believes that the trend of funds flowing into high-yielding stocks will continue, and the performance of bank stocks is not significantly below expectations. The performance growth rate of JPMorgan, Bank of Communications, Ningbo Bank, and China Citic Bank in the first half of 2024 and expected earnings for the fiscal year 2024 are still on track, so there is no need to overly worry about banks reducing dividends due to capital pressure.
The effect of interest rate cuts on deposits is gradually becoming apparent, with interest expenses of many national banks decreasing in the first half of the year, and some banks reducing by more than 7%.
① According to the semi-annual reports of joint stock banks and state-owned banks, although the trend of deposit regularization is obvious, and coupled with the expansion of deposit scale, the cost of debt has actually been reduced for many banks. ② Recent earnings conferences have shown that executives of various banks have expressed the need to adjust the asset-liability structure, strengthen cost control of liabilities, and attract low-cost deposits. This will be the focus and deployment direction for commercial banks in the second half of the year.
Shares of Banking Companies Are Trading Higher Amid Overall Market Strength Following Fed Chair Powell's Comments About the Economy and Future Rate Cuts.
A new round of interest rate cuts for deposits is about to end its first month: small and medium-sized banks continue to follow suit, and some banks have made a second adjustment within the month. Is there still room for further cuts?
① In the context of market interest rate decline, banks are facing continuous pressure to narrow their net interest margin. Some banks have directly lowered deposit interest rates, while others have adjusted them in a phased manner. ② The phenomenon of inverted deposit interest rates is the result of the combined effects of macroeconomic conditions, bank operational strategies, policy guidance, and market expectations.
What is the reason for the year-on-year decrease in net profit of some private banks? The Financial Regulatory Bureau responded.
Liao Yuanyuan said that the net income growth rate of private banks has experienced negative growth. Mainly because these banks have significantly increased their provisions compared to the same period last year, which directly affects the current profits and leads to a temporary decline in net income of private banks.
August LPR quote remaining unchanged meets market expectations. Industry experts predict that the main policy interest rate in the fourth quarter may be cut again, which will guide LPR to adjust accordingly.
Last month, the two LPR quotes for different maturity varieties were just lowered by 10 basis points respectively. In addition, the main policy interest rate of the central bank before this quote (7-day reverse repo rate) remained stable. Therefore, the unchanged LPR quotes for the two maturities in August are in line with market expectations.