China Stimulus May Spur Buying in Overseas Equities, Bank of America Says
Interbank certificate of deposit quotas are in urgent need! Some banks are already below 5%, and the situation may improve in the fourth quarter.
①The balance of negotiable certificates of deposit in the six major state-owned banks accounts for 82.04% of the 2024 record amount, while the balance of negotiable certificates of deposit in joint stock banks accounts for 68.75% of the 2024 record amount. ②The supply of government bonds in the fourth quarter will significantly decrease compared to the third quarter, and the scale of interbank certificates of deposit maturing will also decrease significantly.
Asia Markets Rise Buoyed by China's Stimulus Measures, Investors Access Australia's CPI Data
People's Bank of China Lowers Medium-term Lending Facility Rate by 30 Basis Points to 2%
Central Bank responds to "Switching Mortgages", stating that the initial phase will start from this bank. Industry insiders expect new mortgages to replace existing ones, with limited impact on the existing market.
The emphasis on "initially implementing mortgage transfers within the bank" is mainly because the existing housing loans are still high-yield, low-risk quality assets for banks. Allowing inter-bank mortgage transfers will intensify competition among banks, which is not conducive to the stability of the mortgage market. Banks are expected to negotiate with customers, and both parties will sign a new mortgage contract to replace the original one.
China Stocks Lead Gains in Asia-Pacific Markets After Series of Stimulus Measures From PBoC
Existing home loan interest rates are about to be lowered by 50 basis points! Industry insiders: It can effectively curb the trend of early repayment, and deposit interest rates will be further reduced under the pressure of interest rate differentials.
1. The central bank announced that it will guide commercial banks to reduce existing mortgage rates to be close to the rates of new mortgages, with an average reduction of about 0.5 percentage points. 2. It is expected that the loan prime rate (LPR) and deposit rates will symmetrically decrease.
Major announcements on the real estate market and stock market were made by one line, one bureau, and one association.
1. The central bank: reduce the reserve requirement ratio, lower the interest rate on existing housing loans; establish a special refinancing facility to guide banks to provide loans to listed companies. 2. China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission: strengthen the core tier-one capital of 6 large commercial banks; reveal three optimization policies for renewing loans for small and micro enterprises. 3. China Securities Regulatory Commission: will issue opinions to promote the entry of medium and long-term funds into the market and six measures to promote mergers and acquisitions; support sovereign wealth funds to increase their shareholding in the capital markets.
Capital markets are getting a fresh boost! The central bank has set up a special refinancing facility for securities, funds, insurance companies to facilitate share buybacks and shareholdings, which can only be used for investing in the stock market.
1. Establishing securities, fund, and insurance companies to facilitate mutual exchange, supporting eligible securities, fund, and insurance companies to obtain liquidity from the central bank through asset pledging, significantly enhancing the ability to raise funds and shareholding capabilities in stocks; 2. Establishing a special refinancing facility for share buyback, guiding banks to provide loans to listed companies and major shareholders, supporting share buybacks and shareholding in stocks.
Taking advantage of negative electricity prices! A major transformation is happening in the global electrical utilities market...
①Nowadays, when some consumers use electricity, they often can also earn money; ②During most of this spring and summer, Dutch resident Jeroen van Diesen has been 'rewarded' by using electricity.
People's Bank of China Injects Cash, Unexpectedly Lowers 14-day Reverse Repo Rate
Another cut! After the 7-day reverse repurchase rate was lowered 2 months ago, today the 14-day reverse repurchase rate was reduced by 10 basis points. How significant is the impact?
① The policy rate will be based on the 7-day reverse repo rate in the future. ② Since the news of the adjustment of the existing housing loan interest rate has been circulating for two weeks, there has been no official denial. Moreover, there has been a strong market demand, and most market institutions believe that it is only a matter of time for the formal operation and implementation.
There is no urgent need for a short-term downward adjustment. The September LPR quote remains unchanged. It is expected that the major policy interest rates may be lowered within the year to promote LPR adjustment.
①The main reason for the stable LPR interest rate in September is the pressure of banks' net interest margin, and the policy interest rate (7-day reverse repurchase rate) remains unchanged. ②Taking into account the current economic situation and price trends, the central bank may lower the main policy interest rate, that is, the 7-day reverse repurchase rate, by an estimated 10 to 20 basis points in the fourth quarter, which will guide the LPR quote to follow suit.
People's Bank of China Unexpectedly Holds LPR Rates Steady in September
After the Mid-Autumn Festival, the preferential interest rates for consumer loans from banks starting with the number "1" will gradually come to an end. 2.88% is still the mainstream, and industry insiders believe that in the long term, it will still rema
Although various commercial banks have launched consumer credit preferential activities, the optimal level of market consumer credit annual interest rate is still maintained at 2.88%. In order to increase the intensity of credit release, banks have lowered the interest rate of consumer loans and competing for new customers with price reduction has become a common practice in the consumer credit market. The interest rate center is in a downward channel, and consumer credit interest rates are expected to continue to decline, and the market consumer credit level may enter the range of the single digits.
The third "国十条" of the insurance industry has activated the trillion-dollar retirement financial market. The direction of the development of the three-pillar retirement insurance has been determined!
① Vigorously develop commercial insurance annuities to meet the diversified retirement protection and long-term financial planning needs of the public; ② Encourage the development of new products and exclusive products that adapt to the individual pension system; ③ Support pension insurance companies in conducting commercial pension business and promote the development of exclusive commercial retirement insurance.
Deutsche Bank: The pricing of loans in the banking industry in China is becoming more rational, so there is no need to overly worry about net interest margin pressure.
Morgan Stanley pointed out that although the LPR reduction may put pressure on the interest income of the banking industry in China, at the same time, the interest cost paid by banks to depositors is also decreasing, which helps to alleviate the pressure on net interest margin. Morgan Stanley expects that the banking industry will outperform the large cap market in the next 12 months.
Is it urgent enough to reduce the interest rate on existing housing loans? In the first half of the year, the non-performing balance of personal loans in the six major state-owned banks has reached 352 billion yuan, and the non-performing rate has general
In the first half of this year, the total amount of non-performing loans of the six major state-owned banks has reached 352.091 billion yuan, exceeding the 300 billion yuan threshold for the first time. Compared with the data from early 2024 (291.371 billion yuan), it can be calculated that in the first half of the year, the six major state-owned banks added approximately 60.7 billion yuan of non-performing loans. Industry insiders believe that in the current environment, it is not advisable to excessively rely on reducing existing housing loans to play a greater role in promoting consumer spending.
At least 10 senior executives of listed banks are optimistic. Has the net interest margin really bottomed out? Fitch raised objections: LPR may be further reduced.
In the second quarter of 2024, the net interest margin of commercial banks was 1.54%, showing signs of stopping the decline for the first time. Recently, several listed banks' executives have also publicly stated that there are signs of stabilization or a slowdown in the decline of the net interest margin, injecting a strong boost into the market. Huayu Ratings recently stated, "It is too early to determine whether the net interest margin has bottomed out. The government may further lower the LPR to reduce loan costs.
Many major bank apps have launched the "Existing Home Loan Interest Rate Adjustment" function? In fact, it was introduced last year, and on the eve of the traditional busy season for property sales, the 37.8 trillion silver stock housing loans have once a
①The application port for the adjustment of the existing house loan interest rate was set for the unified adjustment of the existing house loan interest rate last year, not the latest launch. ②Refer to the reduction of existing house loan interest rates in August-September last year, and there is also a possibility of reducing existing house loan interest rates in the future. ③Based on the scale of existing house loans in the second quarter of 2024, which reaches 37.8 trillion yuan, the maximum amount of house loan interest that the residential sector needs to repay each year may be reduced by about 300 billion yuan.