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How to grasp the main line in a volatile market? Technology and Consumer dual-driven may be key.
Yesterday, the market fluctuated throughout the day, with a single-day transaction volume shrinking by over 200 billion. After experiencing last Friday's significant rise in volume, the Index's decline in volume and retracement is also reasonable, and the subsequent view will still lean towards a fluctuating upward structure.
In February, the year-on-year decline in new housing sales narrowed by 14.5 percentage points. What signals does the return of housing to "Consumer" convey?
① From the performance of housing prices in February, the number of cities with declining new and second-hand housing prices has increased, indicating that the real estate market is still in a phase of stabilization. ② The "Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption" announced on March 16 includes housing demand in the category of "Consumption Upgrade," and it is expected that supportive policies will continue to be introduced to optimize related restrictive measures.
National Bureau of Statistics: From January to February, national Real Estate Development investment reached 1,072 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.8%.
According to the National Bureau of Statistics announcement, from January to February, nationwide Real Estate Development investment reached 1,072 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.8%, with the decline narrowing by 0.8 percentage points compared to the annual total from last year; among this, Residence investment was 805.6 billion yuan, down 9.2%, with the decline narrowing by 1.3 percentage points.
The market rebound has opened a new pattern, with Consumer finance taking turns to make efforts, and Technology stocks may face a restorative opportunity.
Last Friday, the market saw a significant rebound in trading volume, with the Shanghai Composite Index climbing back above 3400 points. After experiencing violent fluctuations in the middle of last week, the market again showed signs of breaking upwards. Although this does not mean that a new round of index-driven market movements will immediately begin, it fundamentally alleviates the concerns over the previous breakdowns, and the subsequent view should still be focused on a structure of oscillation upwards.
Has the "singularity" of AI in China arrived in 2025? JPMorgan: An application explosion is imminent, DeepSeek ignites demand for computing power, and Alibaba may become the biggest winner.
JPMorgan believes that the development of GAI in China is currently at the beginning of the second stage. Alibaba is a key player in the IaaS value chain, expected to outperform peers in the second stage of GAI development, and has the potential to become a beneficiary in the third stage of applications. Additionally, Kuaishou may be underestimated, while Baidu acts as both a "shovel seller" and a "gold digger."
Amidst the divergence in technology stocks, new catalysts are emerging, and the logic of price increases in cyclical stocks may gradually attract market attention.
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