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On the first trading day of the New Year, Bank stocks opened high and then fell back. Many Institutions: the opening performance may be better than in previous years, but the trend of declining net interest margin remains unchanged.
① The crediting ratio between each quarter is expected to recover to a ratio of 4:3:2:1. ② It is expected that policy trends will continue, gradually boosting demand in the Real Estate sector. ③ This year, the decline in net interest margin for Banks is narrower compared to 2024, with a calculated interest margin of 1.34% under neutral assumptions.
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As soon as the news of Japan easing tourist visas for people from China was released, local retail travel stocks surged immediately.
① The Japanese Foreign Minister, Toshimitsu Motegi, announced the relaxation of visa requirements for Chinese tourists to Japan, expected to be implemented in spring 2025. ② After the announcement, retail and tourism-related stocks in Japan rose, with J. Front Retailing Co. soaring by 8.38%, while Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings and Takashimaya increased by 6.98% and 3.69%, respectively.
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Zheshang stated that ByteDance has made huge investments in AI, with capital expenditures reaching 80 billion yuan in 2024, approaching the total of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent (about 100 billion yuan). Research and development investments significantly lead their peers; analogously, just as Microsoft is strongly investing in OpenAI, ByteDance in China may be comparable to OpenAI in the USA.
Even the richest private Banks are having a hard time.
First revenue decline.
Short trips for the New Year and "combined leave" travel are on the rise, and tourism during the Spring Festival still appears to be booming.
① This year's New Year's holiday is relatively short, and it is said in the industry that most tourists will prefer short trips and "combine vacation" travels. Influenced by the "combine vacation," data from third-party platforms show that from December 28 to January 5, flight bookings increased year-on-year; ② Registration for long-haul outbound travel products for the Spring Festival has gradually closed, and it is expected that about 80% of the products for this winter vacation (including the Spring Festival) will see price decreases of 10% to 40%.
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