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The expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve has increased, and hedge funds have raised their bets on gold to a four-year high.
Fund managers' bullish bets on gold surged to the highest level in over four years.
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Will gold continue to rise tonight after re-entering the $2500 mark? The industry is focusing on the Jackson Hole Annual Meeting, and gold is expected to continue to push higher.
① Once the annual meeting hints at a 50bp rate cut, the usd may continue to weaken, while gold and US stocks are expected to continue to rise; ② Based on the average performance of gold in the past ten years, gold prices tend to strengthen initially after the Jackson Hole meeting starts; ③ Recently, gold has been on a continuous uptrend, with a significant increase in COMEX net long positions and global gold ETF inflows providing support for gold prices.
UBS: The market is gradually adapting to the gold price of $2500, and there is still room for increased allocation in the future.
UBS Group expects that as the Federal Reserve begins to cut interest rates, the holding cost of gold will decrease, leading to further inflow of funds into gold ETFs. Seasonal demand will drive the physical demand for gold in China and India to rebound. In addition, central banks around the world are still buying gold, and emerging market central banks still have room to increase their shareholding of gold.
Gold Prices on Track for Their Lowest Finish in a Week
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