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US10Y Flirts With 4.80%, US30Y Touches 5.00% After Hot December Jobs Report
Express News | The Yield on the U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bond Rose to 5%, Marking Its Highest Level Since November 2023
Wall Street warns: If you don't want a big drop in U.S. stocks, tonight's non-farm payroll needs to be "just right."
Bank of America stated that only "Goldilocks" data can keep long-term interest rates below 5%, stabilize interest rate sensitivity, and prevent the Nasdaq's leadership from wavering. "Explosive" data could lead to a decline of about 4% in the S&P 500 Index to 5,666 points.
Inflation Data, Bank Earnings Bonanza: What to Watch Next Week -- WSJ
Further Selloff in U.S. Treasurys Seen as Buy Opportunity -- Market Talk
US December Job Cuts Rise 11% From Year Earlier, Challenger Report Says
TWIMO (151403908) : interesting read. how long have you been worried and when did that worry increase?
iamiam OP TWIMO (151403908) : I have been worried for a long time, but not bearish. my worry increased in the summer, that's when I sold my longs.
TWIMO (151403908) iamiam OP : I ask around and listen to get a feel. Some are earning from entry years ago. Some are earning from knowing. Some are earning by hiding losses. Some only announced their wins. Most are carrying bags
103706768 : Rule number 1 of bond trading, u dont trade using TA. Magical squiggly line TA indicators and so on doesnt work on bonds its dependent on FED rates and treasury auctions, bond yeilds are going up due to lack of demand at treasury auction. Currently bond yeilds have alrd inverted but the long awaited recession has yet to occur worse of all market is pricing in inflation going back up due to hot CPI/ consumer data while stocks are all going for all time high (this isnt normal yeild and stock tend to have counter relation). Now we can only wait and see is it the bond market thats wrong or the stock market thats wrong.
iamiam OP 103706768 : what does your comment offer?![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I trade bonds based on squiggly lines and do quite well. I can draw squiggly lines and trend anything. whether you agree or not, that's on you and your 'rules'
enjoy your day