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The rate cut came too late! Bond traders believe that the Federal Reserve is severely lagging behind.
Last Friday, the bond market sent out several warning signals of potential economic recession, one of which was the changing relationship between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bond yields.
US Yield Curve No Longer Inverted: Why This Time The Recession Scenario Might Be Different For Investors
The Bond Market Just Flashed a Reliable Recession Signal. Don't Panic.
Janet Yellen Says Recent Data Points to Soft Landing for U.S. Economy
Are U.S. Treasury bonds outpacing? The speed of the Fed's interest rate cut may determine the life and death of U.S. Treasuries going forward.
For traders, the sharp increase in US Treasury bond yields is a headache. Some believe that the rapid rise in US Treasury yields has already priced in rate cuts, posing a short-term downside risk. There are also analysts who believe that the Federal Reserve may 'think outside the box', with market expectations not fully priced in, leaving room for further increase in US Treasury bonds.
When the long positions of US stocks start to 'surrender': Is Wall Street really scared this time?
①The worrisome data that the bond and csi commodity equity index markets had long ago 'predicted' finally awakened risk asset traders from their 'dream' last week, with US stocks posting their worst performance since the 2023 regional banks crisis; ②The well-known financial blog website Zerohedge indicated that the stock market's recent plunge may be even worse than the Black Monday of August.
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