Say Goodbye to the Inverted Yield Curve? -- WSJ
U.S. Treasury Yields Could Extend Fall If Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise -- Market Talk
Is the US job market weak? Some traders are betting that the non-farm payroll data tomorrow night will be strong, and the 10-year US Treasury bond yield may rise above 4%.
The US Department of Labor will take action. Analysis suggests that in order to create a 'strong economy' political demand, the United States may adjust the data to make the job market appear stronger. On Wednesday, demand for put options on 10-year US Treasury bonds increased significantly, with traders investing millions of dollars to bet on a surge in bond yields in the next 48 hours.
U.S. Two-10-Year Treasury Yield Curve Steepening Set to Continue -- Market Talk
For the second time in two years, the US bond yield curve briefly ended its inversion, but could this signal a recession?
Weak labor data contributes to the speculation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, briefly ending the inverted yield curve, the last time this happened was on August 5th when the European and American stock markets plummeted due to poor non-farm data. However, historically, when the yield curve ends its inversion, it indicates the beginning of economic problems, which may be a negative signal for the stock market.
BofA Says These Indicators Support Buying Seasonal Weakness Before a Post-election Rally
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