Say Goodbye to the Inverted Yield Curve? -- WSJ
U.S. Treasury Yields Could Extend Fall If Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise -- Market Talk
Is the US job market weak? Some traders are betting that the non-farm payroll data tomorrow night will be strong, and the 10-year US Treasury bond yield may rise above 4%.
The US Department of Labor will take action. Analysis suggests that in order to create a 'strong economy' political demand, the United States may adjust the data to make the job market appear stronger. On Wednesday, demand for put options on 10-year US Treasury bonds increased significantly, with traders investing millions of dollars to bet on a surge in bond yields in the next 48 hours.
U.S. Two-10-Year Treasury Yield Curve Steepening Set to Continue -- Market Talk
For the second time in two years, the US bond yield curve briefly ended its inversion, but could this signal a recession?
Weak labor data contributes to the speculation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, briefly ending the inverted yield curve, the last time this happened was on August 5th when the European and American stock markets plummeted due to poor non-farm data. However, historically, when the yield curve ends its inversion, it indicates the beginning of economic problems, which may be a negative signal for the stock market.
BofA Says These Indicators Support Buying Seasonal Weakness Before a Post-election Rally
Yield Curve Between US10Y and US2Y Briefly Normalizes After Latest JOLTS Data
Safe Haven Demand Expected to Support U.S. Treasurys -- Market Talk
Is the U.S. bond market betting on a rate cut of over 2% within a year, destined to be swept away by this week's non-farm payrolls?
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by over two percentage points in the next 12 months, which would be the largest reduction since the 1980s, excluding periods of economic downturn. The first major test will come on Friday.
"September curse": The US stock market felt it on the first day!
Looking back at the market of the past few decades, September is not only a bad month for US stocks, but also for assets such as gold and bitcoin. This opening cold water in September is clearly causing various cross-asset traders to feel a touch of the "September curse" chilling atmosphere...
Treasury Yields Start Month Extending Losses Ahead Of Jobs Data -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields Keep Falling After Manufacturing PMI -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields Little Changed as Investors Look to Key Data Slated for the Week
Ten-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Could Approach 4% If ISM Data Is Strong -- Market Talk
"Will stocks, bonds, and gold avoid a decline this time when it's the ninth day of the lunar month?"
In history, the price of stocks, bonds, and gold usually declines in September because traders reevaluate their investment portfolios after the end of the summer vacation. The employment data to be released this Friday will be the focus of market attention, and its results will directly impact the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
IShares IBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF Declares Monthly Distribution of $0.3795
The Fed will join the global central bank interest rate cut in September! The era of low interest rates may be restarted.
This autumn, central banks around the world will start or continue cutting interest rates, putting an end to the era of historically high borrowing costs.
U.S. Treasury Curve Steepening Has Been Notable Lately -- Market Talk
The four major categories of ETF assets have been rising simultaneously for four consecutive months! This scene in the US market has not been seen in 17 years...
Perhaps few people could have imagined at the beginning of last month that, after experiencing the 'Black Friday' and 'Black Monday' caused by the terrible non-farm payroll data, the US market would still be able to fully recover in August. The US market has not seen a scene like this for 17 years: ETFs tracking government bonds, corporate credit, and stocks have been rising simultaneously for four consecutive months, marking the longest continuous uptrend since at least 2007.
US stock market rally slows down, waiting for the 'shoe to drop' on interest rate cuts | Overseas major asset weekly report
September: Worst month for seasonal US stocks + Fed interest rate cut.