Guosen Securities: Will the Fed "stabilize the dollar" or "stabilize US bonds"? Global funds' views on US assets may change.
Guosen Securities stated that looking ahead, the Fed's decision-making may continue to be "tightening", and after a period of "stabilizing US bonds", it is not ruled out that "stabilizing the US dollar" may once again pressure the Fed to adjust its policy direction. These factors may influence the global perception of US assets.
Global Bonds Rush to Anticipate More Interest-Rate Cuts
The Best Bond Moves to Make in an Era of Lower Interest Rates
A large block trade appeared in the short-term interest rate market in the USA, setting a record for the largest scale in SOFR futures history.
Some analysis indicates that this trade may be a bet that the Fed's easing this year will be less than the current expectations.
The Federal Reserve aggressively cut interest rates, triggering a 're-inflation storm' in the US bond market.
The Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut has initiated a new round of easing, however, this aggressive move has reignited inflation concerns in the US bonds market, with some investors worried that the relaxed financial environment may rekindle price pressures.
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by another 50 basis points in November? The 2-year US bond yield hits a two-year low.
1. The US two-year Treasury bond yield fell further to its lowest level in over two years during the Asian session on Wednesday; 2. An indicator measuring consumer confidence slipped overnight on Tuesday, further enhancing expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut at the next Fed meeting.
