Morgan Stanley: The results of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting and forward guidance are more hawkish than expected.
According to the committee's median, it is currently only expected that there will be two rate cuts in 2025, two rate cuts in 2026, and one rate cut in 2027.
Pryce: It is expected that medium to long-term USA treasury yields will rise, and the yield curve will become steeper.
With the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts setting a lower limit for short-term yields, it is still expected that medium- and long-term Treasury yields will rise, leading to a steeper yield curve.
Huachuang Securities: The Federal Reserve signals a pause in interest rate cuts, Emerging Markets MMF and CSI Commodity Equity Index have room for further decline.
In the December interest rate meeting, the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut of 25 basis points, and the overnight reverse repo rate was lowered by 5 basis points. The latest dot plot indicates that the Federal Reserve may cut rates twice in 2025.
Wall Street collapsed overnight! What kind of "poison" did the Federal Reserve unleash on the market?
① Apart from the US dollar, everything in sight—US stocks, US bonds, Gold, and Bitcoin all plummeted yesterday; ② This "indiscriminate" sell-off in the market reflects investors' extreme fear of the Federal Reserve's decision last night.
US10Y Hits 4.50%, US2Y Spikes 10 Bps After Fed Projects Fewer Rate Cuts in 2025
20 ETFs Primed For Unusually Big Swings On Fed Meeting Days
TWIMO (151403908) : interesting read. how long have you been worried and when did that worry increase?
iamiam OP TWIMO (151403908) : I have been worried for a long time, but not bearish. my worry increased in the summer, that's when I sold my longs.
TWIMO (151403908) iamiam OP : I ask around and listen to get a feel. Some are earning from entry years ago. Some are earning from knowing. Some are earning by hiding losses. Some only announced their wins. Most are carrying bags
103706768 : Rule number 1 of bond trading, u dont trade using TA. Magical squiggly line TA indicators and so on doesnt work on bonds its dependent on FED rates and treasury auctions, bond yeilds are going up due to lack of demand at treasury auction. Currently bond yeilds have alrd inverted but the long awaited recession has yet to occur worse of all market is pricing in inflation going back up due to hot CPI/ consumer data while stocks are all going for all time high (this isnt normal yeild and stock tend to have counter relation). Now we can only wait and see is it the bond market thats wrong or the stock market thats wrong.
iamiam OP 103706768 : what does your comment offer?![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I trade bonds based on squiggly lines and do quite well. I can draw squiggly lines and trend anything. whether you agree or not, that's on you and your 'rules'
enjoy your day