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For the fourth consecutive year! The U.S. bond market has once again disappointed Wall Street.
Investors in U.S. Treasury bonds, who have been accustomed to the long bull market in the bond market for over a decade, may still find it hard to believe: the dismal year of the U.S. bond market has now undeniably continued into its fourth year...
U.S. Treasury yields have surged. Has Wall Street really changed this time?
More and more investors now believe that the USA economy can withstand higher interest rates, and inflation threats will persist. Analysts suggest that if Trump stimulates inflation by increasing tariffs and is unable to control the increase in US debt supply through budget deficit cuts, the 10-year yield could easily surpass 5%.
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TWIMO (151403908) : interesting read. how long have you been worried and when did that worry increase?
iamiam OP TWIMO (151403908) : I have been worried for a long time, but not bearish. my worry increased in the summer, that's when I sold my longs.
TWIMO (151403908) iamiam OP : I ask around and listen to get a feel. Some are earning from entry years ago. Some are earning from knowing. Some are earning by hiding losses. Some only announced their wins. Most are carrying bags
103706768 : Rule number 1 of bond trading, u dont trade using TA. Magical squiggly line TA indicators and so on doesnt work on bonds its dependent on FED rates and treasury auctions, bond yeilds are going up due to lack of demand at treasury auction. Currently bond yeilds have alrd inverted but the long awaited recession has yet to occur worse of all market is pricing in inflation going back up due to hot CPI/ consumer data while stocks are all going for all time high (this isnt normal yeild and stock tend to have counter relation). Now we can only wait and see is it the bond market thats wrong or the stock market thats wrong.
iamiam OP 103706768 : what does your comment offer?![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I trade bonds based on squiggly lines and do quite well. I can draw squiggly lines and trend anything. whether you agree or not, that's on you and your 'rules'
enjoy your day