The most important market changes in the past few weeks have impacted all Assets! However, HSBC believes that "this will bring good buying opportunities in the first half of the year."
HSBC believes that a "just right" economic environment may emerge in the first half of 2025. The market breadth of the S&P 500 Index has significantly decreased, and historical experience suggests that this may be a contrarian indicator, indicating that the market adjustment is nearing its end.
Treasury Yields Dip, but Remain Near Seven-month Highs, as New Trading Year Gets Underway
Treasury Yields Fall on First Trading Day of 2025
Express News | Citi: U.S. labor market at risk of deterioration, Fed may need to cut rates 3 to 5 times this year
U.S. Treasury yields have declined, and the "Santa Claus rally" is still hindered. Wells Fargo & Co expects the Federal Reserve to only lower interest rates once next year!
On the second to last trading day of 2024, the yield on USA government bonds declined.
Yield Curves Steepened in Most Developed Markets This Year Amid Interest-Rate Cuts -- Market Talk
TWIMO (151403908) : interesting read. how long have you been worried and when did that worry increase?
iamiam OP TWIMO (151403908) : I have been worried for a long time, but not bearish. my worry increased in the summer, that's when I sold my longs.
TWIMO (151403908) iamiam OP : I ask around and listen to get a feel. Some are earning from entry years ago. Some are earning from knowing. Some are earning by hiding losses. Some only announced their wins. Most are carrying bags
103706768 : Rule number 1 of bond trading, u dont trade using TA. Magical squiggly line TA indicators and so on doesnt work on bonds its dependent on FED rates and treasury auctions, bond yeilds are going up due to lack of demand at treasury auction. Currently bond yeilds have alrd inverted but the long awaited recession has yet to occur worse of all market is pricing in inflation going back up due to hot CPI/ consumer data while stocks are all going for all time high (this isnt normal yeild and stock tend to have counter relation). Now we can only wait and see is it the bond market thats wrong or the stock market thats wrong.
iamiam OP 103706768 : what does your comment offer?![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I trade bonds based on squiggly lines and do quite well. I can draw squiggly lines and trend anything. whether you agree or not, that's on you and your 'rules'
enjoy your day