Wall Street's New Year interest rate "gamble": from several rate cuts, it has changed to whether rates will remain unchanged or not...
On Tuesday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, known as the "anchor of Global asset pricing," further reached its highest level in eight months; the betting game surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate direction seems to have completely shifted from several rate cuts this year to whether further cuts will actually happen...
The selling of U.S. bonds is accelerating, with 5% just around the corner!
As the day approaches for Trump to officially take office as the president of the USA, concerns in the bond market about the inflation outlook are starting to rise, and Wall Street generally anticipates that US Treasury bonds will continue to decline. On Tuesday, the yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond hit a 14-month high at 4.919%, nearing the 5% mark; the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond climbed to 4.695% on Tuesday, marking the highest level since April of last year.
Fed's Cook: Markets at Risk of 'Large Declines' as Valuations Are Elevated
Treasury Yields Hold Steady as Investors Await Fresh Economic Data
Treasury Yields Mixed as U.S. Labor Is Expected to Cool Slowly -- Market Talk
Sovereign Debt Is a Good Bet This Year as Rate Cuts Loom -- Interview
TWIMO (151403908) : interesting read. how long have you been worried and when did that worry increase?
iamiam OP TWIMO (151403908) : I have been worried for a long time, but not bearish. my worry increased in the summer, that's when I sold my longs.
TWIMO (151403908) iamiam OP : I ask around and listen to get a feel. Some are earning from entry years ago. Some are earning from knowing. Some are earning by hiding losses. Some only announced their wins. Most are carrying bags
103706768 : Rule number 1 of bond trading, u dont trade using TA. Magical squiggly line TA indicators and so on doesnt work on bonds its dependent on FED rates and treasury auctions, bond yeilds are going up due to lack of demand at treasury auction. Currently bond yeilds have alrd inverted but the long awaited recession has yet to occur worse of all market is pricing in inflation going back up due to hot CPI/ consumer data while stocks are all going for all time high (this isnt normal yeild and stock tend to have counter relation). Now we can only wait and see is it the bond market thats wrong or the stock market thats wrong.
iamiam OP 103706768 : what does your comment offer?![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined")
I trade bonds based on squiggly lines and do quite well. I can draw squiggly lines and trend anything. whether you agree or not, that's on you and your 'rules'
enjoy your day