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Bond market indicators sound the alarm: inflation may fall below the Federal Reserve's target.
The 10-year breakeven inflation rate has fallen to 2.02%, the lowest since 2021, indicating that investors expect the 10-year average inflation to be below the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. Wall Street strategists believe that this indicates investors are concerned about the Federal Reserve's slow monetary easing actions.
Financial markets closely watch Harris's first direct confrontation with Trump, a comprehensive look at the focus of stocks, exchange rates, and bonds.
The stock market is concerned about tax and tariff plans; the bond market is concerned about fiscal plans; the foreign exchange market is watching Trump's tariff comments and whether they involve pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates more aggressively.
Treasurys' Rally Into Fed Rate Cuts Is More Pronounced Versus Previous Cycles -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of Final Inflation Prints Before Fed Meeting
The rate cut came too late! Bond traders believe that the Federal Reserve is severely lagging behind.
Last Friday, the bond market sent out several warning signals of potential economic recession, one of which was the changing relationship between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bond yields.
Is the 'political honeymoon period' over? Latest polls: Harris' support rate has stagnated, lagging behind Trump.
1. According to a poll released by the new york times and Siena College on September 8, Trump leads Harris by a slight margin of 48% to 47%; 2. This is the first time in nearly a month that Trump has led Harris in a mainstream poll.
