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The rate cut came too late! Bond traders believe that the Federal Reserve is severely lagging behind.
Last Friday, the bond market sent out several warning signals of potential economic recession, one of which was the changing relationship between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bond yields.
Is the 'political honeymoon period' over? Latest polls: Harris' support rate has stagnated, lagging behind Trump.
1. According to a poll released by the new york times and Siena College on September 8, Trump leads Harris by a slight margin of 48% to 47%; 2. This is the first time in nearly a month that Trump has led Harris in a mainstream poll.
The Bond Market Just Flashed a Reliable Recession Signal. Don't Panic.
Getting attention! The options market is currently focused on the Fed's interest rate cut.
The fiercely competitive presidential election has gradually faded from the market's view, and investors' attention is now focused on the Federal Reserve meeting on September 18th.
When the long positions of US stocks start to 'surrender': Is Wall Street really scared this time?
①The worrisome data that the bond and csi commodity equity index markets had long ago 'predicted' finally awakened risk asset traders from their 'dream' last week, with US stocks posting their worst performance since the 2023 regional banks crisis; ②The well-known financial blog website Zerohedge indicated that the stock market's recent plunge may be even worse than the Black Monday of August.
The suspense of the Fed's interest rate cut in September may have to wait until the last moment to be revealed! The U.S. stock market wants to see a 25 basis point cut.
The latest employment data did not resolve the market's debate over the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut in September; however, the employment report did intensify concerns about a cooling labor market.
