Latest Consumer Inflation Data Cements Fed Rate Cut Odds at 25 Basis Points
Is there any possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut? Tonight, the night of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will determine everything!
Last Friday's US non-farm night has made the expectation of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month the mainstream in the current market. Whether the tilted expectation of an interest rate cut will continue until the Fed's interest rate decision day next week remains to be seen. Tonight could be the last "decisive moment"...
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Bond market indicators sound the alarm: inflation may fall below the Federal Reserve's target.
The 10-year breakeven inflation rate has fallen to 2.02%, the lowest since 2021, indicating that investors expect the 10-year average inflation to be below the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. Wall Street strategists believe that this indicates investors are concerned about the Federal Reserve's slow monetary easing actions.
Financial markets closely watch Harris's first direct confrontation with Trump, a comprehensive look at the focus of stocks, exchange rates, and bonds.
The stock market is concerned about tax and tariff plans; the bond market is concerned about fiscal plans; the foreign exchange market is watching Trump's tariff comments and whether they involve pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates more aggressively.
Treasurys' Rally Into Fed Rate Cuts Is More Pronounced Versus Previous Cycles -- Market Talk
