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iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Is it really heading towards 5? The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has reached 4.86%, setting a new high in over a year.
At the beginning of the new year, while market participants are speculating how many times the Federal Reserve can lower interest rates, a scene that worries many cross-asset market traders is still "playing out"; the yield on long-term USA bonds has not stopped its march towards 5.
Trump stirs the market, the dollar finally falls, but U.S. long-term bond yields hit a 14-month high.
Due to reports that Trump's tariff policy was not as strong as expected, the dollar temporarily fell by 1%, but after Trump refuted the claims, it recovered nearly half of its losses. The US bond market began to price in the possibility of Trump continuing to disrupt the financial markets, with the yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond rising by 5 basis points to 4.86% during the session, reaching the highest level since November 2023.
US30Y Hits Highest Point in 14 Months as Wall Street Reassesses Inflation and Rate Decisions
Concerns arise over more than a trillion dollars in U.S. debt to be issued, as the yield on 30-year Treasury bonds surges to a 14-month high.
Due to the tense and anxious bond market preparing for the issuance of new government bonds worth 119 billion dollars this week, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield has risen to its highest level since the end of 2023.
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What does a 1.7% yield on a 10-year government bond signify?
Xinda Securities believes that the recent pricing of the 10-year government bond yields reflects the potential for a decline in the OMO rate next year. Based on the economic outlook and monetary policy environment for 2025, it is anticipated that a reduction of 50 basis points in the OMO rate may be necessary to achieve a marginal easing similar to that of 2024, which suggests that the 1.7% yield on the 10-year government bonds does not appear to be overly priced.
Treasury Yields Dip, but Remain Near Seven-month Highs, as New Trading Year Gets Underway