Wall Street's New Year interest rate "gamble": from several rate cuts, it has changed to whether rates will remain unchanged or not...
On Tuesday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, known as the "anchor of Global asset pricing," further reached its highest level in eight months; the betting game surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate direction seems to have completely shifted from several rate cuts this year to whether further cuts will actually happen...
2024 "Capitol Hill Stock God" performance: dozens of members of Congress outperform the Large Cap stock market, with the highest yield reaching 149%!
① According to a new report, in the recently passed year of 2024, the stock investment portfolios of over 20 USA lawmakers outperformed the Large Cap; ② Congressman David Rouzer had the highest investment portfolio return, reaching 149%; ③ This has once again raised concerns about insider trading among congressional members.
U.S. stock market close: Inflation concerns lead to a decline in all indexes, NVIDIA fell 6% after reaching a new high.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.2%, with China Concept Stocks showing mixed results; ② NVIDIA launched its personal computing product Project DIGITS; ③ XPENG Huaitian: Flying cars will be mass-produced and delivered in 2026; ④ Vaccine stocks soared, with Moderna rising nearly 12% and Novavax increasing by nearly 11%.
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Morgan Stanley CIO: The US stock market will experience "ice and fire" in 2025, with a difficult start in the first half of the year!
1. Michael Wilson, Chief Investment Officer of Morgan Stanley, stated that the challenges faced by US stocks in the first half of the year are greater, as the surge in bond yields and the strengthening dollar pose risks to the stock market. 2. He pointed out that the correlation between the S&P 500 Index and US Treasury yields has turned into a "decisive negative correlation," a divergence that has not been seen since last summer.
China Securities Co.,Ltd.: The future trends of the US stock market depend on the sustainability of the Technology revolution driven by AI.
The underlying logic of the Reagan cycle is to suppress inflation with tight MMF, stimulate growth with loose regulation, and ultimately create a cycle of "economic growth - strong dollar - strong U.S. stocks" in growth, liquidity, and Assets.
U.S. stock market closing: the three major Indexes had mixed results, with the Technology conference CES boosting chip stocks higher.
① Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.16%, most China Concept Stocks fell, Tencent ADR dropped nearly 8%; ② MicroStrategy has purchased Bitcoin for nine consecutive weeks; ③ Trump denies plans to reduce the applicability of tariffs; ④ Qualcomm announces the launch of the new AI chip Snapdragon X.
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