iShares Core S&P 500 ETF Stock Discussion

My analysis of the May PCE report.
Here are some interesting facts:
- Core PCE, PCE, and PCE for goods (MoM Changes): All of these MoM changes are now simultaneously below their respective 25th percentile of MoM changes, based on data from the years 2000 to 2019, which is the first time since December 2023.
- Real disposable personal income, real PCE, and Wages and Salaries (MoM changes): All of these MoM changes are now above their 50th percentile, indicating that their changes a...

The Commerce Department will release a key inflation report Friday. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, a key measure for the Federal Reserve, is expected to show little to no increase for May, the first time since November 2023.
More importantly, the core PCE price index, excluding food and energy, is forecasted to have its lowest annual reading since March 2021, when it first exceeded the Fed's 2% target.
Official f...

U.S. Stocks:
The Dow rose 0.04%, the S&P 500 rose 0.16%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.49%.
Bonds:
By the end of the trading day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury was around 4.33%, up more than 8 basis points for the day. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was around 4.745%, up nearly 1 basis point.
Commodities:
WTI August crude futures rose nearly 0.1%, closing at $80.90 per barrel. Brent August crude futures rose nearly 0.3%, closing at $85.25 per barrel. COMEX August gold futu...

U.S. Stocks:
The Dow fell 0.76%, the S&P 500 rose 0.39%, and the Nasdaq rose 1.26%.
Bonds:
By the end of the trading day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury was approximately 4.25%, and the yield on the 2-year Treasury was around 4.74%, both rising about 2 basis points for the day.
Commodities:
WTI August crude futures fell nearly 1%, closing at $80.83 per barrel. Brent August crude futures fell nearly 1.2%, closing at $85.01 per barrel. COMEX August gold futures fell 0.5...

The CBO has raised the US government's deficit forecast for Fiscal Year 2024 from $1.5 trillion to $1.9 trillion, or 6.7% of GDP.
This would be the highest deficit since 2021 when the deficit hit $2.8 trillion in response to pandemic lockdowns.
By 2034, the deficit is expected to reach $2.9 trillion or 6.9% of GDP, totaling a whopping $22.1 trillion over the 2025-2034 period.
The CBO projection also assumes that net interest will reflect over 50% of the budget defici...

U.S. Stocks:
The Dow rose 0.67%, the S&P 500 fell 0.31%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.09%.
Bonds:
By the end of the trading day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury was approximately 4.23%, down about 2 basis points for the day. The 2-year Treasury yield was around 4.72%, down nearly 1 basis point for the day.
Commodities:
WTI August crude futures rose 1.1%, closing at $81.63 per barrel. Brent August crude futures rose 0.9%, closing at $86.01 per barrel. COMEX August gold future...

Recently, all eyes are on the Fed and the big question: when will they cut interest rates? The cooling of the U.S. CPI and weak retail sales data in May have provided a boost for the record highs of US markets, as they help spark rate cut expectations.
So, if the Fed kicks off a rate-cutting cycle, how should investors position themselves? Which assets might benefit? Here are a few essential insights before making any moves.
1. Why will t...