iShares Core S&P 500 ETF Stock Discussion

Yesterday was a big ROTATION day on US equtities market with small-caps hugely outperforming large-caps. Indeed, small-cap Russell 2,000 gained 3%+ while the S&P 500 fell on the day. The only other day that happened was back on 10/10/2008... Investors probaby have these 2 charts in mind: 1) The HUGE underperformance of small caps vs large aps over the recent years; 2) History showing that Small caps outperform AFTER the first rate cut.
The lower than expected...

Today, many institutions are trimming back their rate cut expectations given strong labor market data and slow progress on inflation
At the beginning of 2024, several banks forecasted five or more interest rate cuts over the year, while the median projection for Federal Reserve policymakers was three quarter-point cuts by fiscal year-end in March. Now, it has pared this back to one rate cut this year.
This graphic shows mid-year interest...

Stocks:
The Dow Jones rose 0.08%, the S&P 500 fell 0.88%, and the Nasdaq dropped 1.95%.
Bonds:
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury fell 7.59 basis points to 4.2082%. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped 10.70 basis points to 4.5109%.
Commodities:
WTI August crude oil futures rose $0.52, or over 0.63%, to $82.62 per barrel. Brent September crude oil futures increased by $0.32, or more than 0.37%, to $85.40 per barrel. Spot gold rose 1.86% to $2415.48 per ounce. London cop...

“Reducing policy restraint too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment,” said Powell, speaking to the Senate Banking Committee as part of his semiannual address to Congress on Tuesday. He continues his testimony Wednesday before the House Financial Services Committee. “More good data would strengthen our confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%,” Powell added.
Wednesday marks a light day for economic data, with a final wholesale inventories read...

This chart says inflation is not going away by itself!
We passed the inflation peak but higher prices are here to stay.
Sooner or later central bankers will retire the 2% inflation target rate,
Statista also has predicted that Inflation won't hit the Fed's 2% target before 2030.
The inflationary 1970s caused a massive rise in gold price, the next Gold Bull phase started in early 2000 with the historical inflationary wave.
In this Bull phase, Gold should see 3 major peaks; the first cam...

The S&P 500 continued its advance as easing pricing pressures, and slowing growth, have investors increasingly optimistic the Federal Reserve will soon start to ease up on monetary policy. But others, who are concerned a correction is on the horizon, are urging investors to broaden their exposure.
“You really want to stay broadly diversified,” Courtney Garcia, senior wealth advisor at Payne Capital Management, told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” ...

Summary
The overall average valuation of US stocks is still normal, but the stock differentiation is particularly serious. A few weighted stocks have been soaring. How do you view this phenomenon?
In addition, there are three major problems with US stocks: 1) The market value of the top stocks is too large and the growth space is limited. 2) The market expected volatility has been low. 3) The scale of derivatives is huge.
Analysis of ma...