Major risks in November are undergoing significant changes.
Less than a month away from the US election day on November 5th, the market is beginning to price in the risk of the election results. Currently, Trump has regained a leading advantage, adding uncertainty to the election. China International Capital Corporation believes that for future assets, the overall election is bullish for US stocks but tariffs are unfavorable for Chinese assets; the US dollar is relatively strong, gold is neutral, interest rates are rising; bulk commodities may benefit from expectations of Trump's stimulus.
10/15 [Strength and Weakness Materials]
[Bullish and bearish materials] Bullish materials - Nikkei Average is rising (39,605.80, +224.91) - dow jones industrial average is rising (43,065.22, +201.36) - NASDAQ Composite Index is rising (18,502.69, +159.75) - $1 = 149.70-80 yen - Chicago Nikkei futures are rising (40,095, +485 compared to Osaka) - SOX index is rising (5,432.21, +96.27) - VIX index is decreasing (19.70, -0.76) - Expectations for subdued inflation in the USA - Active self-company
US Stock Futures Steady After Wall St Logs Record Highs; Earnings Awaited
The CEO is bullish, but Wall Street is bearish? There is a significant divergence in earnings expectations for the US stock market this earnings season.
Analysts expect that the s&p 500 constituent companies will see a year-on-year profit growth of 4.2% in the third quarter, while these companies' own guidance predicts a growth of 16%. This difference implies that corporate performance is likely to exceed Wall Street expectations.
IVV ETF Gains 0.8%
Federal Reserve Watch for Oct. 14: Fed Officials Look for Gradual Reduction in Policy
