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When the U.S. stock market is infatuated with Trump, U.S. bonds have fallen in love with Besant...
① The usa national debt market, which has reached a scale of 28 trillion dollars, seems to be becoming increasingly "politicized"; ② If the continuous record highs of the us stock market after the usa elections indicate that the bull market is "fond of" Trump, then the current bond market seems to have "fallen in love with" Bessent.
Can the US stock market rise again before the end of the year? Bank of America: It depends on the upcoming November CPI.
① The bank of america report indicates that the CPI data for November, set to be published on Wednesday, will have an impact on the usa stock market beyond investors' expectations. ② The latest inflation data will affect the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and weak data may clear the way for a year-end rebound in the usa stock market.
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U.S. stocks closed lower: all three major indexes fell, Chinese concept stocks celebrated all night, and the Golden Dragon Index surged by 8.5%.
① The nasdaq china golden dragon index rose by 8.54%, while the ftse china 3x long etf (YINN) increased by 23.78%; ② OpenAI officially launched the AI video generation model Sora; ③ A man involved in the murder case of the insurance giant's CEO in New York was arrested in Pennsylvania; ④ mondelez international is reportedly exploring the acquisition of the usa chocolate producer hershey.
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Another U.S. stock market bear has "surrendered"! Rosenberg: Extreme stock market valuations may be reasonable.
① Renowned usa economist David Rosenberg has changed his long-standing bearish stance, stating that the ai-driven technology boom has led him to reassess the us stock market; ② Rosenberg indicated that if ai unleashes a wave of productivity, extreme valuations might make sense; ③ Rosenberg mentioned that despite the possibility of a bubble, it may not manifest in the coming years, and he remains open to the idea that the bull market could 'go further.'
Is this time really different? Another well-known "U.S. stock bear" has apologized.
Top Wall Street economist Rosenberg is no longer bearish on U.S. stocks, but he still expects a correction of 5-10%. Rosenberg stated that he previously underestimated ai, and the market currently has high expectations for AI; only when these high expectations are proven to be excessive will the stock market enter a bear market.
The Stock Market's Earnings Estimates Are Falling. That Could Become a Problem
This week, the biggest variables in US stocks, bonds, and bitcoin.
Investors need to closely monitor the release of November CPI this Wednesday, which could be a "black swan" event that disrupts market expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Analysts suggest that if the CPI shows no significant increase in U.S. inflation, then a rate cut in December is highly likely. However, futures pricing indicates that the Fed may pause rate cuts at the January meeting next year.