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From Bold to Boring
After a rollicking spring rally, gold has settled into a trading range that seems typical for a summertime slowdown. One indicator is now pointing toward a big surprise soon, however.
Expectations of interest rate cuts are putting pressure on gold and copper again, waiting for this week's PMI data to provide guidance.
Last week's released overseas macro data remained relatively weak, while Fed officials' statements were relatively hawkish, especially Federal Reserve official Bowman pointed out the possibility of interest rate hikes, which put pressure on the market, causing the US dollar to further strengthen against other currencies. This week, there will be intensive release of Euro-American PMI data, which will be a good guide for the market.
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Citi and Bank of America Merrill Lynch are both bullish: gold prices are expected to rise to $3000 in the next year.
Strong physical demand, central bank purchases, as well as macro factors such as concerns about US bonds and the Fed's interest rate cuts, will support the rise in gold prices.
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