Stagflation Fears and Soaring US Yields: S&P 500's Next Move
In October, China's holdings of US Treasury bonds hit their lowest level in over 15 years! Is the trend of reducing US Treasury bonds beginning to spread Global?
① On Thursday local time, the USA Treasury released the International Capital Flow Report (TIC) for October 2024; ② The report showed that the amount of US Treasury bonds held by foreign investors ended five consecutive months of growth in October; ③ Led by Japan and China, as many as seven of the top ten "creditors" of the USA chose to reduce their Shareholding that month. Meanwhile, China's US Treasury Hold Positions further hit a new low since 2009.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish actions have triggered a significant change in U.S. Treasury bonds! The yield curve has reached its steepest point since 2022.
Long-term USA government bonds weakened on Thursday, causing the yield curve to steepen significantly, returning to levels seen about 30 months ago.
Why Treasury Yields Are Rising Again and What to Do With Bonds Now
Pryce: It is expected that medium to long-term USA treasury yields will rise, and the yield curve will become steeper.
With the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts setting a lower limit for short-term yields, it is still expected that medium- and long-term Treasury yields will rise, leading to a steeper yield curve.
Wall Street collapsed overnight! What kind of "poison" did the Federal Reserve unleash on the market?
① Apart from the US dollar, everything in sight—US stocks, US bonds, Gold, and Bitcoin all plummeted yesterday; ② This "indiscriminate" sell-off in the market reflects investors' extreme fear of the Federal Reserve's decision last night.