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NVIDIA Stock Discussion

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D3VIN

39 minutes ago

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ It’s astounding how irrational this market can be. "They’re not growing enough anymore," yet the company is delivering record-breaking quarters and possesses a competitive moat strong enough to acquire some of the largest players in the industry. Do you honestly believe this stock won’t rise? Let’s leave the conspiracy theories aside and focus on the facts.

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Junius Falcon : Came across this recently, they are making language model as well and results seem great! They have many things under their sleeves. Many applications await for artificial intelligence, just like the internet isn't over after 20+ years.
Hymba Hybrid-Head Architecture Boosts Small Language Model Performance | NVIDIA Technical Blog https://developer.nvidia.com/blog/hymba-hybrid-head-architecture-boosts-small-language-model-performance/

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scarlight : The reason why of not growing enough.
1/ It's valuation in the previous years is incredibly smaller and now as you can see it is comparable to Apple the biggest company in the world. Then it is logical for it to slow down in growing.
2/ Sale: Its AI chips find more buyers but let us be realistic. Aside from big companies like the Magnificent 7 to buy AI chips who or what countries in the world actually has the money to buy more than US monopoly??? So sale's growth eventually reduce. Beat earning but yes slow down in growth.
3/ AI as you may know is not an innovative it is a quick charger. Instead of using people and ask them to learn they use AI to do the job faster. then when they get enough AI they make AI to make more AI. That is what Microsoft and Amazon are doing. AI replaces humans and then AI replaces AI.
AI is not making anything new they are there to make things faster. It fit the world dynamics that value efficiency but it will dissolve itself as well.

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Junius Falcon scarlight : 1. NVDA was selling GPU mostly for gaming and it is a very small market with limited growth, yet stock price kept up because it makes new cards sold to broader emerging markets. I believe using PE back then is inappropriate at least for the coming years.
2. Point 1 will apply the same way. India is not yet in. The world is big.
3. AI will make better automation and faster work in civil, industrial and military tasks. Imagine companies will get larger profits, pay more taxes, the government will become more rich and start to pay out universal income to its citizens. This can become an economy revolution as well as industrial one.

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scarlight Junius Falcon : hmm the thing is you want to analyse stock movement you have to follow the rule of wall street analysis.
They use their metric as comparable to the past and current economic situation to make stock movement.
If you do not follow Wall Street's rules, stocks' movement will not follow your ideas. Because Wall Street makes the rules to value and they are the ones who move stocks not us normal people.

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Junius Falcon scarlight : Wall Street says 150 to 200 next year lol, not 90 to 120. Usually companies with high growth potential have high PE, as the market is always forward looking.

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