Procter & Gamble Stock Forum

• The Family Guy OP : Success Rate of the Market Prediction vs. Actual Performance
  To assess the accuracy of the prediction, let’s break it down into key components:
  1. Overall Market Direction
  • Prediction: Neutral to slightly negative market reaction.
  • Actual: The market declined (S&P 500 -0.4%, Dow -1%, Nasdaq -0.5%).
  • Accuracy: Correct (Prediction aligned with actual market movement.)
  2. Sector & Stock Impact Analysis
  Financials (Banks & Lenders)
  • Prediction: Negative impact due to no imminent Fed rate cuts.
  • Actual: Financials declined (XLF -1.56%, JPM -4.47%, BAC -1.54%).
  • Accuracy: Correct (The sector performed as expected.)
  Cyclical Consumer Stocks (Retail, Travel, Housing)
  • Prediction: Weakness in consumer spending could impact retail stocks.
  • Actual: Walmart fell 6.5%, dragging down the retail sector.
  • Accuracy: Correct (Retail stocks saw significant declines.)
  Defensive Sectors (Utilities, Consumer Staples, Healthcare)
  • Prediction: A rise in jobless claims could push investors toward defensive sectors.
  • Actual: Utilities and consumer staples slightly gained (XLU +0.02%, PG +0.45%).
  • Accuracy: Correct (Defensive stocks held up.)
  Tech & Growth Stocks
  • Prediction: A moderate benefit if rate-cut expectations rise.
  • Actual: Tech stocks experienced minor declines (XLK -0.30%, MSFT -0.33%, AMZN -1.67%).
  • Accuracy: Partially Correct (Tech stocks didn’t rise but saw only slight losses instead of strong outperformance.)
  Final Success Rate Calculation
  Prediction Category Outcome Result
  Overall Market Direction Correct 100%
  Financials Sector Impact Correct 100%
  Cyclical Consumer Stocks Impact Correct 100%
  Defensive Stocks Impact Correct 100%
  Tech Stocks Impact Partially Correct 50%
  Final Accuracy Score:
  • 4.5/5 Correct Predictions (90% Accuracy).
  Conclusion
  The market prediction was highly accurate (90% success rate). The primary miss was the expectation that tech stocks might benefit from increased rate-cut hopes, whereas they experienced slight losses instead. Otherwise, the prediction correctly anticipated the overall market trend and sectoral impacts.
  LIKE & FOLLOW FOR MORE OF THIS PRE-MARKET ANALYSIS!

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• Drew Manns : why ? why is this a buy ?

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• DonkeyGenius OP Drew Manns : its on a new uptrend, hit support level and good to buy because consumer defensive are out of rotation…

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• Space Dust : Elites have throttled the economy back for so long, trying to get others to play along. But some of these others didn't, and are now very far ahead. And the depopulation plan which was started at home, wasn't able to spread. Complete failure by the western Elites, who are now so desperate, anything they try will fail just from the STENCH of the level of desperation..

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• J Servai (JLAPT) : $Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.US)$

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• 10baggerbamm : you're incorrect saying that drill baby drill benefits oil companies. they're underlying commodity with an increase in supply will result in significantly lower prices it's economics 101. it's exact same thing that happened during the Trump first administration and if you look at the performance of large oil companies and intermediate oil companies they were down between 30 and 70% under Trump's first term.. I think you should go look at history and see the impact on these companies stock prices as a result of lower oil prices

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• YZRolling 10baggerbamm : While increased supply can lead to lower commodity prices, large oil companies often offset this with operational efficiencies, diversification, and downstream operations (refining and chemicals), which benefit from cheaper crude. On the other hand, stock prices aren't solely tied to oil prices. Broader economic trends, geopolitical events, and company-specific factors (like debt management and cost control) also influence performance.

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• A Humble Mooer : I get people WANT to view this positively. I'm trying to find opportunities in Trumps actions too.
  This analysis though is so positive it borders on a little delusional.

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• 10baggerbamm A Humble Mooer : well you have to look at it very basic if you're operating a company in one of your biggest expenses is fuel and that price goes down everything else being equal your margins and profits go up.
  so that's your cruise liners all your cruise companies pick the best one because as long as discretionary income increases and it will when oil prices fall you have more money people are going to accelerate they're bookings for cruise ships. the cost of their fuel is going to go down significantly. I would tell people to look at that before airlines airlines have a lot of other problems unions at the top of the list Boeing aircraft but the cruise ships don't have to deal with that issue you just have to worry about another epidemic potentially.
  additionally you have Federal Express and UPS UPS is played with surprisingly enough union problems Federal Express doesn't have that issue to contend with same thing their profit margins are going to go up when the cost of jet fuel goes down which means the stock price will go up. so go down the list of companies that use the most fuel it's a very basic approach but it absolutely will work.
  lastly is the trade that I have a large position in I'm going to be buying every week and it's going to be for me a multi-million dollar position.
  I believe what Trump said he will do promises me promises kept
  red or blue oil prices will fall that is a fact no they're not going to fall to what they were in the first term because of coded where it went negative $22 a barrel.
  you will have oil prices in the low 50s maybe high 40s at some point in time.
  DRIP
  this is a leveraged ETF that's a inverse ETF to the price of oil. does oil falls and natural gas falls and as the stocks start having their margins deteriorate because the commodity that they're producing is worth less. Lowe's stocks fall and this ETF goes straight up.
  this is going to be a slow grind it is not going to spike $2 $3 in a day. it will move up a few pennies and we'll move down a few pennies but if you believe what president Trump said that within 12 months of my inauguration that would be yesterday oil prices will be down 50%.
  this ETF will be in the twenties

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• Buy n Die Together❤ :

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• Cui Nyonya Kueh :

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• Cui Nyonya Kueh : Edited:
  Teacher Lim, may I ask why your first and second support for HSI drift so apart?
  I listened to both of your talk.
  1. last week traders edge - HSI did not meet your expectations (and that was before the released of the 5% GDP)
  2. ytd sias with sunny - the mentioned of to listen to the Chinese govt.
  have your view towards HSI changed?
  Thank you!

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• Gabriel Apilando Cui Nyonya Kueh : I was incarcerated for  10 and 20 year sentences back in 2000.  I just maxed out, last year. Investments restarted from 2001, were while on supervised release, then each interval while on parole. Incidentally,  a lot of bad relationships (with hopes and good intentions), created situations where I had let down my guard and was showing ex what I did on the web all the time. In which my vitals were revealed. This most likely had opened a window to these misinterpreted mistaken identity issues I encountered.  Due to the timing of most incidents of interests, withholding myself trying to figure out "what's going on!!" and how to rectify these issues seems I just complicated it more. Now that I have a clearer perspective on things, after tortuous frustrating events. I surrendered to find legal and professional guidance, "a bit late". So I pray if anyone who reads this ever finds themselves in similar situations,  "get financially legal advice", where my pride led to just nightmares after nightmares of frustrating events. That's why, my ignorant actions of male ego "I got this bull#%!@" rewarded me. Hard lesson learned, but I my true intentions are in living a positive and honest lifestyle. Now I'm dealing with things transparently, so others may know, "what not to do and to rectify issues of life in a positive way".

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