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Is the market currently exaggerating expectations of a recession in the USA?
Morgan Stanley believes that investors' panic over a USA economic recession is likely exaggerated, and the real economic slowdown has yet to fully manifest. There is still significant uncertainty (such as immigration policy) that has not materialized, and investors should focus on hard data, especially non-farm payroll data.
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The "new bond king" sounds the alarm: the probability of a U.S. economic recession reaches 60%, and investors should stay away from U.S. stocks!
① "Bond King" Gundlach stated on Thursday that as the risk of recession in the USA increases, US stocks may face another painful period of volatility; ② he believes the probability of an economic recession in the USA in the coming quarters is between 50% and 60%; ③ Gundlach advises US investors to stay away from US stocks and seek opportunities in Europe and Emerging Markets.
U.S. stock market close: The three major Indexes collectively edged down slightly, with the shadow of U.S. policy lingering.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 3.84%; ② NVIDIA rose by 0.86%, with Market Cap surpassing Microsoft; ③ Micron's revenue exceeded expectations, rising over 4% in after-hours trading; ④ Apple reorganized its AI executive team in an effort to turn around the decline of Siri.
BOE Follows Fed With a Rate Pause. Why the U.K. Will Have to Start Cutting Fast.
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