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6500 points! Wall Street's 'former big short' firmly calls the US stock market, and provides these investment recommendations.
Morgan Stanley's Chief Investment Officer Michael Wilson has set a target price of 6,500 points for the S&P 500 index by the end of 2025, a 10.3% increase from the current level. Wilson believes that the Fed rate cuts, improving economic growth, and potential deregulation by the Trump administration should make investors bullish on the stock market.
As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.
The second largest net inflow of capital since 2008! Investors go all in on US stocks
According to EPFR data, in the week up to last Wednesday, US stock etf and mutual funds attracted nearly 56 billion dollars in inflow, marking the second largest weekly inflow record since 2008. These funds have attracted inflow for seven consecutive months, marking the longest duration since 2021.
Global Fund Managers Changed Their Views After Trump Got Elected. Here's How
Late night broadcasting! Powell: The economy is strong, the Federal Reserve does not need to rush to cut interest rates, there is time to understand the impact of Trump's policies.
Powell stated that labor market indicators are returning to more normal levels consistent with the Federal Reserve's full employment target; inflation will continue to decline towards the target of 2%, although there may be occasional fluctuations; the interest rate path is not preset and depends on data and economic outlook. If the data tells us to slow down rate cuts, slowing down is the wise choice; Congress generally believes that the Fed's independence is very important, concluding prematurely on the policies of the Trump administration. The Fed will act cautiously before policy is more certain; the impact of AI may be later and greater than we expect.
Is it stable? The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates next month has reached 80%.
① Last night, the completely market-expected usa October CPI data did not cause much of a stir in the market; ② However, the data performance still boosted market confidence in the Fed's interest rate cut next month, and stimulated a rebound in short-term US government bonds.
HYGWE : should we worry a lower cpi could signal economic slowdown tho not yet recession but would need more action from over cautious and behind the curve FED ... too little too late FED to rescue from recession
Ultratech HYGWE : what is worrying is this one of those emotions again. they've been talking about a recession since covid.
Moomoo Research OP HYGWE : What you said is very reasonable. If there is a recession, the investment opportunities of many investment types will decline, and bonds will be a good choice.